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Highlights

  • GYG’s H1FY25 revenue increased by 27.0% YoY, while EBITDA surged by 28.3% YoY.
  • In March 2025 quarter, the company reaffirmed its FY25 guidance, announced a dividend for September 2025, and opened five new restaurants.
  • TDM Growth Partners has the highest stake in GYG with a shareholding of 23.20%.

Guzman y Gomez Limited (ASX:GYG) is a Sydney-headquartered Australian Quick Service Restaurant brand that offers fresh Mexican-inspired cuisine. The company has operated in 210 locations across four countries since 2006 and listed on the ASX in June 2024.

In the first half of the financial year FY25 (H1FY25), the company’s revenue increased by 27.0% YoY to AUD 212.4 million, driven by same-store sales growth, rapid restaurant expansion, and rising digital and delivery demand. H1FY25 EBITDA surged by 28.3% YoY to AUD 31.6 million, up from AUD 24.6 million in H1FY24 and net profit rose by 91.2% YoY to AUD 7.3 million, up from AUD 3.8 million in H1FY24.

During the reported period, effective marketing and value menu items supported strong consumer demand and earnings momentum.

Business Update

In the March quarter, GYG reported a 23.6% YoY increase in network sales to AUD 289.5 million, with Australian comparable sales rising 11.1% YoY, supported by new menu launches, marketing efforts, and ongoing restaurant expansion. The company reaffirmed its FY25 guidance, introduced a dividend policy with the first dividend expected in September 2025. During the latest quarter, the company opened five new restaurants, including three in Australia and two in the US.

Company Outlook

GYG plans to open 31 new Australian restaurants in FY25 and scale up to 40 annually, while targeting 17.8% corporate restaurant margins, supported by efficient operations and value-based menus.

The company expects AUD 6.0 million in FY25 statutory profit. Franchise partnerships are expected to drive two-thirds of FY26 network sales, leveraging lower capital intensity and decent returns.

Top 10 Shareholders of GYG

The top 10 shareholders collectively hold approximately 88.09% of the company’s total shares, with TDM Growth Partners and Hyperion Asset Management Limited being the largest stakeholders, owning around 23.20% and 11.86%, respectively.

Stock Information

The stock price has declined by approximately 6.91% over the past month and about 31.57% over the last six months. The stock has a 52-week high and 52-week low of AUD 45.99 and AUD 24.04, respectively.

GYG shares closed at AUD 28.29 per share on 30 June 2025.

Support and Resistance Summary

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference data for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 30 June 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from EODHD/Others.

Technical Indicators Defined

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.