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Economic News

4.3%, 3.9%, 3.7%: Three Inflation Numbers and What Each One Measures

Is inflation 4.3 per cent, 3.9 per cent or 3.7 per cent? All three figures appear in Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) material published in late 2026, and all three are accurate. They are not competing estimates of the same thing. They measure different …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Debt Forgiveness Before a Sale Isn't Automatically 'Dividend Stripping': What the High Court's 4–3 Split in Merchant Means

The case, Commissioner of Taxation v Merchant; Merchant v Commissioner of Taxation [2026] HCA 39, turned on two provisions in Part IVA of the Income Tax Assessment Act 1936.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Thirteen Days to October's CPI: Why the 25 November Print Carries Weight

Thirteen days separate today, 12 November 2026, from the next monthly reading of consumer prices. In an ordinary month, a single CPI print would be one data point among many. This one arrives at an unusually sensitive moment: three weeks after a split decision …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

R&D Spending Hits $16.7 Billion Across 13,490 Companies, the ATO's Latest Transparency Report Shows

The report covers R&D claims for the 2023–24 income year. In total, 13,490 companies claimed R&D expenditure of $16.7 billion.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

A Peak Before Christmas? The RBA Sees Headline Inflation Topping Out at 4.5%

When aCentral Bankpublishes a forecast that inflation will rise before it falls, the natural question is how high, and for how long. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) answered the first half of that question in its November 2026 Statement onMonetary Policy(SMP). In the …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Petroleum Resource Rent Tax Payable Jumps 26.3% to $1.87 Billion, ATO Transparency Data Shows

That contrast matters as debate over how Australia taxes its gas resources continues, and as the federal budget leans on resource-sectorRevenuemore broadly.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

"Elevated Through Much of 2027": The Inflation Timeline Households Now Face

Central bank statements are often short, and individual phrases carry a great deal of weight. In the statement accompanying its 3 November 2026 decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia'sMonetary PolicyBoard wrote: "Inflation is now forecast to remain elevated through much of 2027". For households …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

From 11% to 16%: How Bracket Creep Could Hit a $45,000 Worker Over the Next Decade

The e61 and Holden analysis modelled how average tax rates change over 10 years at different income levels if tax brackets are left unchanged while wages rise.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Oil 35% Dearer Than August Assumed: How Energy Rewrote the RBA's Forecasts

Economic forecasts are built on assumptions, and few assumptions move the numbers as much as the price of oil. In the November 2026 Statement onMonetary Policy(SMP), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) disclosed that "The assumed oil price in the December quarter is 35 …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Without Bracket Creep, a 1% Surplus Becomes a 0.7% Deficit: The PBO Number at the Heart of the Indexation Fight

Bracket creep is the extra tax collected when wages rise but tax thresholds stay put. Over time, more income is taxed at higher marginal rates, even if a worker is no better off after inflation.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026
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