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Economic News

"Broadly Neutral" in the Long Run: Why AI Won't Tame Inflation Quickly

• Data centreInvestmentin Australia has risen tenfold from a very low base over three years.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

$1,000 Deduction, a 15% Rate and a $250 Offset: Adding Up Labor's Personal Tax Changes for a $60,000 Worker

The rate onTaxable Incomebetween $18,201 and $45,000 falls from 16% to 15% from 1 July 2026, which is the current 2026–27 income year. It falls again, to 14%, from 1 July 2027.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

More Than 20 Times Apart: The AI Productivity Estimates Dividing Forecasters

Ask ten economists how much artificial intelligence will boost the economy and you may get ten different answers. Ask them to put numbers on it and the spread becomes striking. In a speech at the UBS Australasia Conference in Sydney on 9 November 2026, …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

RBA Tips Home Building to Shrink 2.8% in 2027 — the Year the New-Build Negative Gearing Rule Starts

The forecasts accompany the RBA's November 2026 Statement on Monetary Policy, released after the Board lifted the cash rate to 4.85% on 3 November.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

More Workers, More Job Seekers: How Labour Supply Pushed Unemployment Up

A rising unemployment rate usually gets read as a sign that businesses are shedding staff. The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) November 2026 Statement onMonetary Policytells a more nuanced story. In its chapter on economic conditions, the bank states plainly: "The unemployment rate increased …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Apartment Approvals Jump 25.6% as House Approvals Fall: An Early Sign of the New-Build Tax Shift?

The ABS reported on 2 November that total dwelling approvals rose 5.1% in September to 17,948 in seasonally adjusted terms.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

A Rising Jobless Line: The RBA's Quarter-by-Quarter Unemployment Path to 2028

Plot the Reserve Bank of Australia's latest unemployment forecasts on a chart and the result is a line that never turns down. From 4.4 per cent in June 2026 it climbs steadily to 5.1 per cent by December 2028. The rises are small at …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Nine Days After the November Rise: Where a 4.85% Cash Rate Leaves Households

On 3 November 2026 the Reserve Bank of Australia'sMonetary PolicyBoard announced that it had raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points, taking it from 4.60 per cent to 4.85 per cent. The RBA website lists the new target with an effective date …

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026

Treasury Says $720 Million of the $4.5 Billion Trust Tax Will Come From Businesses Earning Under $1 Million

Treasury's Emma Gabrielsen, assistant secretary for tax analysis, set out the numbers at the SenateEconomicsLegislation Committee hearing on Friday 6 November.

Sonal Goyal | 12 November 2026
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