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Economic News

Non-Banks Hold About 6% of Financial Assets: Why the RBA Calls Their Risks Contained

Not every loan in Australia comes from a bank. Non-bank lenders and private credit funds also provide finance to households and businesses, and they attract periodic questions about whether they could become a weak point in the financial system.

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Above 70 US Cents: What a Firmer Aussie Dollar Could Mean for Prices at the Checkout

At 4.00 pm on 14 October 2026, the RBA's published exchange rate for the Australian dollar against the US dollar was 0.7002, meaning one Australian dollar bought just over 70 US cents. For shoppers, that number can seem remote from the supermarket aisle or …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

TWI at 65.0: Measuring the Dollar Against All Our Trading Partners, Not Just the Greenback

Ask most Australians what the dollar is worth and the answer will be expressed in US cents. On 14 October 2026, that figure was just above 70 US cents, with the RBA recording AUD/USD at 0.7002 at 4.00 pm. It is a convenient shorthand, …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

More Than One Million Jobs in a Couple of Years: The Employment Story Behind 4.6%

At first glance, two of the labour market figures Michele Bullock cited at her 29 September media conference seem to pull in opposite directions. The unemployment rate, she noted, is now 4.6 per cent, up from about 3.5 per cent a couple of years …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Employment Growth Easing to About 1.1%: What the RBA's Forecasts Mean for Hiring

Forecast tables rarely make headlines, but the employment row in the RBA's August 2026 Statement on Monetary Policy tells a quiet story about the jobs market. Year-ended employment growth was 1.1 per cent in June 2026. Staff expected it to pick up to 1.4 …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Could Prices and Pay Chase Each Other Higher? An RBA Board Member Weighs Spiral Risk

One week before the cash rate target was raised to 4.60 per cent, a member of the body that made that decision put a pointed question on the public record. On 22 September 2026, in Melbourne, Iain Ross AO, a member of the Monetary …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Stable Labour Demand, Rising Unemployment: How Both Can Be True at Once

At first glance, two observations in the minutes of the RBA's September 2026 Monetary Policy Board meeting seem to pull in opposite directions. The unemployment rate rose to 4.6 per cent in August. Yet most leading indicators pointed to stable labour demand, and some …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Unit Labour Costs: The Little-Known Measure Steering the RBA's Rate Decisions

Ask most people what drives inflation and they will mention petrol, groceries or rent. Ask a central banker and the answer may well include a less familiar measure: unit labour costs. The minutes of the RBA's September 2026 Monetary Policy Board meeting state that …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

Why a Rising Jobless Rate Hasn't Convinced the RBA the Jobs Market Is Loose

A rise in the unemployment rate from about 3.5 per cent to 4.6 per cent over a couple of years might suggest a jobs market with plenty of spare capacity. Yet when the Monetary Policy Board met on 28–29 September 2026, it raised the …

Sonal Goyal | 15 October 2026

"They're Seeing Real Wage Cuts": Bullock on What Inflation Has Done to Pay

Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged at her 29 September media conference that pay has been losing ground to prices, even as she rejected the idea that wages are driving inflation.

Sonal Goyal | 14 October 2026
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