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Why a Divided Board Matters More Than the Quarter-Point Itself

On its own, the move from 4.60% to 4.85% on 3 November 2026 extends a path the RBA had been signposting for weeks. What sets this decision apart is not its size but its margin: six members of theMonetary PolicyBoard voted to raise, and …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

125 Basis Points Since January: Tallying 2026's Tightening After Cup Day

One hundred and twenty-five basis points. That is how far the cash rate target has risen across 2026, after theMonetary PolicyBoard added another 25 basis points on Tuesday 3 November. It is a figure worth pausing on, because it captures not just one decision …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

"Broadly Based": The Two Words That Tipped the RBA Into Another Rise

Central bank statements are written with care, and individual phrases can carry a lot of weight. In theMonetary PolicyBoard's decision of 3 November 2026, two words stand out. "Inflation remains elevated and recent data indicate that it is broadly based," the statement says.

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

From Unanimity to a 6–3 Split in Five Weeks: What Changed Inside the Board

Five weeks separate the Reserve Bank's last two monetary policy decisions. Both delivered the same outcome, a 25 basis point increase in the cash rate target. Yet the votes behind them look very different. In September, the Board was unanimous in lifting the rate …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

Embedded Expectations: The Risk the Board Says It Can No Longer Wait Out

Inflation is not only about what prices are doing today. It is also about what people believe prices will do tomorrow. When households, businesses and workers come to expect higher inflation, they tend to behave in ways that make it happen: firms set prices …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

"Conscious of the Period": How the RBA Framed Its Impatience With High Inflation

Most of aMonetary Policystatement deals in numbers: the cash rate, the inflation rate, the forecasts. Every so often, though, a sentence reveals something about the Board's state of mind. On 3 November 2026, as it lifted the cash rate target by 25 basis points …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

Illustration: A $600,000, 30-Year Mortgage Adds About $97 a Month at 6.25%

When the cash rate target moves, the question many households ask is simple: what does it mean for my repayments? The Reserve Bank'sMonetary PolicyBoard lifted the target by 25 basis points to 4.85% on 3 November 2026, effective 4 November. Lenders set their ownMortgagerates, …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

Borrowers Brace: What a 4.85% Cash Rate Means for Variable-Rate Households

Variable-rate borrowers woke up on Melbourne Cup Day to another increase in the cost of money. At 2.30 pm AEDT on 3 November 2026, theMonetary PolicyBoard announced it had lifted the cash rate target by 25 basis points, from 4.60% to 4.85%, effective from …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

Scheduled Repayments Already Near 10% of Income — and Now Rates Are Higher

About 10 cents in every dollar of household disposable income. That was the share going to scheduledMortgagepayments when the Reserve Bank'sMonetary PolicyBoard met in late September, according to the minutes of that meeting. The minutes described the ratio as being around its 2024 peak.

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026

Who Feels Today's Rise First? Mortgage Holders, Renters and Savers Compared

Interest rate decisions are often described as if they land on everyone in the same way. They do not. When theMonetary PolicyBoard lifted the cash rate target from 4.60% to 4.85% on 3 November 2026, effective 4 November, the change began working through the …

Sonal Goyal | 03 November 2026
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