Index Update:  The Australian sharemarket ended Friday on a positive note, with the S&P/ASX 200 climbing 119.90 points, or 1.37%, to close at 8,844.40. The benchmark index also moved above its 200-day moving average, while remaining 3.90% below its 52-week high. Over the past five trading sessions, the index has advanced 0.92%.

Market gains were driven by gold mining stocks after weaker-than-expected US employment data led investors to reduce expectations of further interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve, boosting sentiment toward precious metals.

Sector performance was broadly positive, with nine of the eleven sectors finishing in the green. The Health Care sector emerged as the strongest performer, rising 2.67% during the session and extending its five-day gain to 5.64%.

Macro Update: Gold prices extended gains on Thursday after weaker-than-expected US employment data strengthened expectations that the US Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative monetary policy later this year.

The rally was also supported by a weaker US dollar, with the US Dollar Index falling 0.5%. A softer dollar typically makes gold more affordable for buyers using other currencies, providing additional support to bullion prices.

Market sentiment shifted after the latest US Labour Department report showed that the economy added 57,000 jobs in June, significantly below economists' expectations of 110,000 new jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate stood at 4.2%.

The weaker labour market data followed an earlier report indicating that US private payroll growth also missed expectations in June, reinforcing speculation that the Federal Reserve may have less room to raise interest rates further this year.

Top Market Movers: Among the top gainers, Catalyst Metals Limited (ASX:CYL) surged 19.18% to close at AUD 6.09, followed by Genesis Minerals Limited (ASX:GMD), which rose 16.70% to AUD 6.29. Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX:NST) also advanced 11.75%, ending the session at AUD 22.16. On the downside, PEXA Group Limited (ASX:PXA) declined 21.29% to AUD 8.54, while Suncorp Group Limited (ASX:SUN) fell 3.72% to AUD 18.63, and Fortescue Ltd (ASX:FMG) slipped 3.17% to close at AUD 18.36.

Commodity Update:  The U.S. dollar remained on course for its largest weekly decline in nearly three months after the June U.S. employment report came in weaker than expected, prompting markets to push back expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes and offering support to the Japanese yen. Gold surged 1.69% to USD 4,195.25, silver climbed 2.89% to USD 62.80, copper gained 0.79% to USD 13,423.45, while Brent crude oil rose 0.50% to USD 72.15 as easing Middle East supply concerns tempered geopolitical risks.

Our Stance: The ASX 200's move above its 200-day moving average reflects improving market sentiment, although the index remains below its 52-week high, indicating that investors remain cautious. Weaker-than-expected US employment data has strengthened expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve, supporting gold prices and lifting Australian gold miners. The decline in the US dollar has further improved sentiment toward precious metals. Market direction in the near term is likely to remain influenced by expectations around US monetary policy and whether incoming labour market trends continue to support the current outlook for interest rates.

The S&P/ASX 200 gained 119.90 points in the latest trading session, forming a bullish candlestick that reflects renewed buying interest. From a technical perspective, the index continues to trade above its 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which remains a key dynamic support level and reinforces the prevailing positive trend. Immediate support is located near 8,780.90, and holding above this level would preserve the broader bullish market structure while encouraging further buying momentum. A sustained rebound from support could pave the way for a retest of recent highs and potentially extend the current advance. Conversely, a decisive break below the 8,780.90 support level would weaken the near-term technical outlook, increase selling pressure, and raise the risk of a deeper corrective pullback.

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