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Economic News

Both Sides of the Ledger: How a Higher Cash Rate Moves Loan and Savings Rates

Every time the cash rate moves, the conversation tends to focus on mortgages. That is understandable: repayments are a large and visible cost for millions of households. But the cash rate is the anchor for a much wider set of interest rates, including those …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Housing Credit "Has Started to Slow": The Lending Shift Since 2026's First Hike

Credit is where monetary policy meets the real economy. When the cash rate rises, the question is not only what happens to interest rates, but whether households and businesses actually borrow less.

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

0.6% a Quarter: The Inflation Pace Bullock Says Australia Must Get Back To

Ask most people what the Reserve Bank's inflation target is, and they will say 2–3 per cent a year. That is correct, but it is not always the most useful way to track progress in real time. Inflation data arrive more frequently than once …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

4.0% in August, 3.9% in the June Quarter: Untangling Australia's Two Inflation Reads

Pick up any discussion of Australian inflation right now and you may encounter several different numbers: 4.0 per cent, 3.9 per cent, 3.6 per cent and "about 3.5 per cent". None of them is wrong. They measure different things over different periods, and knowing …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

"Driven by Domestic Capacity Pressures": Why Bullock Points at Home-Grown Demand

Oil price spikes, conflict in the Middle East and a global scramble for artificial intelligence hardware have all featured in the Reserve Bank's commentary this year. Yet when Governor Michele Bullock fronted the media on 29 September to explain the Monetary Policy Board's latest …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Not Until Late 2027: Bullock's Canberra Testimony on Inflation's Return to Midpoint

For households hoping the cost-of-living squeeze is nearly over, one sentence from Michele Bullock's appearance in Canberra last month offered a sober reality check.

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Businesses Bracing for Strong Cost Increases: The Liaison Signal Behind the Hike

Official statistics tell a central bank where the economy has been. Talking to the people who run businesses can tell it where things might be heading. That is why one line from Governor Michele Bullock's 29 September media conference deserves a closer look.

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Supply-Constrained AI Tech Is Pushing Up Global Prices, Bullock Tells MPs

Artificial intelligence is usually discussed in terms of productivity, jobs or share-market valuations. At the Reserve Bank of Australia, it is now also being discussed in terms of prices.

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Pump to Price Index: How Oil's Fresh Surge Flows Straight Into Inflation

Few prices are as visible as the number on the sign at the local service station. When it jumps, households notice immediately, and conversations about the cost of living tend to follow. So does the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has made the latest …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Just 1.4% Growth Forecast for 2026 — So Why Did the RBA Still Hike?

At first glance, it looks like a contradiction. In August, the Reserve Bank of Australia forecast that the economy would grow by just 1.4 per cent over the year to December 2026. Then, on 29 September, the Monetary Policy Board lifted the cash rate …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026
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