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Economic News

A Fifth Hike in 2026? Weighing the Board's Own Words Against the New Data

Is a fifth rate rise for 2026 on the way? It is the question many borrowers are asking, and it is one this article will not answer, because the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Monetary Policy Board has not yet made its decision. What …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

One Afternoon, Two Big Releases: Why 3 November Brings a Decision and Fresh Forecasts

On many Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision days, attention centres on a single short statement. Tuesday 3 November 2026 is different. According to the RBA's calendar, the Monetary Policy Board's decision statement and the Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP), which contains the Bank's …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

"We're Not Trying to Put People Out of Their Homes": Hunter's Message to Mortgage Holders

For many Australians with a home loan, 2026 has been a year of rising repayments. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate target four times, by a cumulative 100 basis points, to 4.60 per cent. So when Sarah Hunter, the …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

"No Painless Tool": Sarah Hunter Defends Interest Rates on Prime-Time TV

She named two challenges: an overseas oil shock and excess domestic demand relative to what the economy can sustainably supply.

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

Price Controls, Wage Freezes, Money Targets: Why the RBA Says Rates Beat the Alternatives

Every time the cash rate rises, a familiar question follows: is there really no other way? With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) having lifted its cash rate target four times in 2026, to 4.60 per cent, the question has particular force for households …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

Mortgage Stress or Systemic Strain? Hunter Draws the Line on 60 Minutes

There is a difference between a household struggling with its mortgage and a banking system struggling with its mortgage book. The first is a personal hardship; the second is a risk to the whole economy. When Sarah Hunter, Assistant Governor (Economic) at the Reserve …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

Illustration: What Another Quarter-Point Rise Would Mean for a $650,000 Mortgage

Mortgage holders have already absorbed four increases in the cash rate target in 2026. The most recent, on 29 September, took the target to 4.60 per cent, effective 30 September, and lifted the cumulative increase for the year to 100 basis points, or one …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

"Monetary Policy Does Not Target Housing Prices": Bullock Sets the Record Straight

Six words in Governor Michele Bullock's opening statement to the Senate Economics Legislation Committee may prove among the most quoted of the hearing: "monetary policy does not target housing prices."

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

Budget Tax Changes Plus Rate Rises: The Two Forces Hunter Says Are Cooling Housing

When Sarah Hunter sat down with 60 Minutes interviewer Adam Hegarty, the conversation inevitably turned to property. In the interview, recorded on 21 October and broadcast on 25 October 2026, the Assistant Governor (Economic) said that higher interest rates are slowing housing, as intended, …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026

Lagged Pain: The Full Hit From 100 Points of Hikes Is Still Coming, Senators Told

Monetary policy has a timing problem. A change to the cash rate is announced in an afternoon, but its effect on borrowing, spending, hiring and prices plays out over many months. That lag sat quietly in the middle of Governor Michele Bullock's opening statement …

Sonal Goyal | 28 October 2026
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