Index Update:  The Australian sharemarket closed lower on Wednesday as renewed pressure on bank stocks and a sharp fall in Coles weighed on investor sentiment. The S&P/ASX 200 declined 55.80 points, or 0.64%, to 8,722.90, finishing below its 50-day moving average. The benchmark index has slipped 0.97% over the past week but remains largely unchanged since the start of the year. Market breadth was negative, with seven of 11 sectors ending the session in the red. Health Care bucked the trend, gaining 0.77% on the day and 3.87% over the past five sessions. The market's weakness followed data showing the largest monthly drop in Australian house prices since 2022, raising concerns that weighed on the banking sector and offset gains elsewhere.

Macro Update: Australia's total dwelling approvals fell 1.1% to 17,019 in May, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, as a 10.4% decline in private dwellings excluding houses offset continued strength in detached housing. Private sector house approvals rose 2.8% to 10,537, marking the fourth consecutive month above 10,000 approvals and the highest level since September 2021. Western Australia and New South Wales led the gains, while apartment approvals dropped sharply, with original approvals declining 30.0% during the month.

Top Market Movers: Among the top gainers, Perpetual Limited (ASX:PPT) surged 16.77% to AUD 18.10, followed by Magellan Financial Group Limited (ASX:MFG), which climbed 11.97% to AUD 10.85. South32 Limited (ASX:S32) also posted solid gains, rising 9.74% to AUD 4.28. On the downside, 4DMedical Limited (ASX:4DX) led the losses, falling 10.82% to AUD 4.04. Alcoa Corporation (ASX:AAI) declined 7.21% to AUD 71.80, while Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) dropped 5.66% to AUD 26.00.

Commodity Update:  The U.S. dollar strengthened modestly on Wednesday after stronger-than-expected labor market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer, pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. The Japanese yen remained near its weakest level against the U.S. dollar in around four decades. Gold declined 1.05% to USD 3,997.40 per ounce, silver dropped 2.55% to USD 58.39 per ounce, and copper eased 1.00% to USD 13,251.00 per metric ton. Brent crude oil gained 0.73% to USD 70.01 per barrel as uncertainty surrounding U.S.-Iran negotiations supported prices.

Our Stance: The Australian sharemarket ended lower as weakness in bank stocks and a sharp decline in Coles weighed on investor sentiment, pushing the S&P/ASX 200 below its 50-day moving average. While softer housing data highlighted mixed conditions across the property market, detached house approvals continued to show resilience despite a sharp fall in apartment approvals. Market performance was mixed, with Health Care standing out as the best-performing sector, while individual stocks recorded significant moves in both directions. Meanwhile, lower gold, silver and copper prices contrasted with firmer oil prices, suggesting investors may continue to monitor macroeconomic data and commodity trends for near-term market direction.

The S&P/ASX 200 declined 55.80 points in the latest trading session, forming a bearish candlestick pattern that reflects short-term selling pressure. From a technical perspective, the index is trading below its 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which continues to act as a key dynamic resistance, indicating that near-term momentum remains cautious. Immediate support is located around 8,650.70. A sustained hold above this level would help preserve the broader bullish market structure and could attract renewed buying interest, supporting a retest of recent highs and potentially extending the recovery. Conversely, a decisive break below the 8,650.70 support level would weaken the near-term technical outlook, intensify selling pressure, and increase the risk of a deeper corrective pullback.

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