National House Price Growth Hits a New 13-Year Low

—Cities with the steepest surges in supply saw prices slip the most, says Chief Economist Mark Fleming—

SANTA ANA, Calif., May 01, 2025--(BUSINESS WIRE)--First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its March 2025 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here.

March1Home Price Index

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad Market Metric Change in HPI February 2025-March 2025 (month over month) +0.8 percent March 2024-March 2025 (year over year) -0.4 percent National HPI Metric Change in HPI February 2025-March 2025 (month over month) +0.5 percent March 2024-March 2025 (year over year) +1.8 percent

Chief Economist National HPI Analysis:

"National house price growth slipped below 2 percent for the first time since 2012, amid strained affordability and heightened economic uncertainty. Wary potential home buyers are adopting a ‘wait-and-see’ approach, curbing demand while inventory continues to drift higher," said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. "One silver lining – household income growth is now outpacing house price appreciation, allowing potential buyers’ incomes to narrow some of the affordability gap, if mortgage rates hold steady."

Year-Over-Year Price-Tier Data for the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad Metro Area: March 2024 to March 2025

The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.

CBSA Starter Mid-Tier Luxury San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad +0.7% +1.2% +2.7%

"House prices declined year over year in nine of the top 30 markets we track, with all nine located in the South or West," said Fleming. "Notably, markets with some of the steepest increases in annual inventory levels, such as Denver and Orlando, Fla., have the deepest price declines. Conversely, house price appreciation remains strong in the Northeast and Midwest, where inventory has lagged behind."

Story Continues

March 2025 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier HPI CBSA Change in Starter Tier HPI Change in Mid-Tier HPI Change in Luxury Tier HPI Baltimore +13.0 percent +4.8 percent +5.5 percent Pittsburgh +11.0 percent +4.7 percent +7.5 percent Nassau County, N.Y. +10.6 percent +9.8 percent +11.4 percent Warren, Mich. +7.9 percent +5.5 percent +5.5 percent St. Louis +7.2 percent +0.4 percent +2.2 percent

Additional March 2025 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI CBSA Change in HPI Nassau County, N.Y. +6.5 percent Cambridge, Mass. +4.8 percent Warren, Mich. +4.8 percent Pittsburgh +4.8 percent Baltimore +4.1 percent Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decrease in HPI Tampa, Fla. -4.8 percent Oakland, Calif. -4.5 percent Orlando, Fla. -1.8 percent Denver -1.5 percent Austin, Texas -1.0 percent

HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.

Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics.

Next Release

The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of May 19, 2025.

First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology

The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.

The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.

Disclaimer

Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2025 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.

About First American Data & Analytics

First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8.6 billion document images. Its major platforms and products include: DataTree®, FraudGuard®, RegsData®, First American TaxSource™ and ACI®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services industries with advanced decisioning solutions at www.FirstAmDNA.com.

About First American

First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the digital transformation of its industry. First American also provides data products to the title industry and other third parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing; home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management services; and other related products and services. With total revenue of $6.1 billion in 2024, the company offers its products and services directly and through its agents throughout the United States and abroad. In 2025, First American was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work® and Fortune Magazine for the tenth consecutive year. The company was named one of the 100 Best Workplaces for Innovators by Fast Company for the second consecutive year in 2024. More information about the company can be found at www.firstam.com.

1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.

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