By Joanna Plucinska and Rajesh Kumar Singh LONDON/CHICAGO (Reuters) -European airline shares have soared in the last six months despite geopolitical and economic uncertainty, while those of U.S. airlines have sold off amid a pullback in travel spending. The stock market has been turbulent since the start of this year as U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war has shaken consumer and business confidence. Since travel spending is a discretionary item for many consumers and businesses, prospects of weak economic growth in the U.S. and high inflation have hit shares of companies including Delta, United and American Airlines. Europe's main flag carriers Lufthansa and Air France-KLM reported higher second quarter results on Thursday, defying worries about transatlantic travel and reinforcing their share price outperformance as cost discipline paid off for investors. Shares in British Airways-owner IAG, which reports earnings on Friday, have also continued their upward trajectory, albeit more modestly than European peers. It helps that Americans are still keen to travel to Europe on European carriers, analysts said, with Air France in particular bolstering its luxury image to sell premium seats. Leading the share performance of big European carriers this year is Air France-KLM, with Lufthansa and IAG not far behind. The main big American carriers are all down for the year, though have seen an uptick over the last month. SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT? The share and results performance comes despite multiple complaints from European airline CEOs that they face undue regulatory burdens tied to environmental costs and airport taxes compared to other international carriers. The passage of Trump's tax and spending bill and some clarity on the tariff front have eased some of the macroeconomic concerns for U.S. airlines, helping their shares recover from lows this year along with hope for improvements in travel demand. "The flag carriers have been increasingly driven by a realisation... that demand on the North Atlantic was a little weaker but it has not collapsed as had been feared by investors," said Goodbody analyst Dudley Shanley. Still, earnings estimates of U.S. airlines for 2025 have seen significant down revisions. "At the end of the day, travel demand is driven by the consumer having confidence," said Conor Cunningham, analyst at Melius Research, adding that if corporate travel kept improving and consumer confidence picked up things could change. "We might look back on the tariff-induced slowdown as a temporary pause," he said. (Reporting by Joanna Plucinska; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Elaine Hardcastle) View Comments
Europe's airline shares outpace US peers amid tariff turbulence
You are reading a free article with opinions that may differ from the recommendation given by Kalkine in its paid research reports. Become a Kalkine member today to get access to our research reports, in-depth technical and fundamental research.
Start Your Free Trial Now!Not sure where to invest today?
Kalkine’s latest research highlights three companies identified through in-depth analysis and market insights.
Explore these research reports to learn about companies currently being tracked by our analysts and make more informed investment decisions.
View 3 Research ReportsThis information, including any data, is sourced from Unicorn Data Services SAS, trading as EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”) on ‘as is’ basis, using their API. The information and data provided on this page, as well as via the API, are not guaranteed to be real-time or accurate. In some cases, the data may include analyst ratings or recommendations sourced through the EODHD API, which are intended solely for general informational purposes.
This information does not consider your personal objectives, financial situation, or needs. Kalkine does not assume any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this information, data, or any analyst rating or recommendation provided. Kalkine will not accept any liability for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on the information, including but not limited to data, quotes, charts, analyst ratings, recommendations, and buy/sell signals sourced via the API.
Please be fully informed about the risks and costs associated with trading in the financial markets, as it is one of the riskiest forms of investment. Kalkine does not provide any warranties regarding the information on this page, including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use.
Please wait processing your request...