Shareholders might have noticed that EBOS Group Limited (NZSE:EBO) filed its interim result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.7% to NZ$39.00 in the past week. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of AU$1.42 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of AU$6.0b came in 2.8% ahead of analyst predictions. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for EBOS Group NZSE:EBO Earnings and Revenue Growth February 21st 2025

After the latest results, the consensus from EBOS Group's twelve analysts is for revenues of AU$12.2b in 2025, which would reflect a noticeable 3.4% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 3.9% to AU$1.31. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$11.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$1.37 in 2025. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on EBOS Group after the latest results; whilethe analysts lifted revenue numbers, they also administered a small dip in per-share earnings expectations.

The consensus price target was unchanged at NZ$40.56, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic EBOS Group analyst has a price target of NZ$44.85 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at NZ$31.50. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 6.7% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 10% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 7.2% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - EBOS Group is expected to lag the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for EBOS Group. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for EBOS Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for EBOS Group that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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