It's been a mediocre week for Croda International Plc (LON:CRDA) shareholders, with the stock dropping 11% to UK£25.49 in the week since its latest interim results. Croda International reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of UK£856m and statutory earnings per share of UK£1.14, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Following last week's earnings report, Croda International's twelve analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be UK£1.68b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 18% to UK£1.18. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of UK£1.68b and earnings per share (EPS) of UK£1.32 in 2025. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the real cut to new EPS forecasts.

Check out our latest analysis for Croda International

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target fell 5.8% to UK£36.23, with the analysts clearly linking lower forecast earnings to the performance of the stock price. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Croda International at UK£52.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at UK£23.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Croda International'shistorical trends, as the 1.6% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 1.8% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue shrink 15% annually. So it's clear that not only is revenue growth expected to be maintained, but Croda International is expected to grow meaningfully faster than the wider industry.



The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Croda International. On the plus side, they made no changes to their revenue estimates - and they expect it to perform better than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Croda International's future valuation.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Croda International going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted  1 warning sign for Croda International you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.