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PerplexityConocoPhillips' 2025 Outlook Holds Steady Despite Production Headwinds: JP Morgan JP Morgan analyst Arun Jayaram expressed views on ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) fourth-quarter results reported today. The analyst has an Overweight rating on the stock. The company reported revenue of $14.74 billion, beating the consensus of $14.30 billion, and adjusted EPS of $1.98, beating the consensus of $1.84. The analyst expects a slightly positive market reaction to ConocoPhillips' earnings, which featured a beat, a largely in-line 2025 outlook, and a $10 billion return of capital commitment matching expectations (JPM estimates at $9.95 billion). The return of capital plan is based on current commodity prices and the company’s historical practice of returning 40%-45% of CFO, though adjustments may occur depending on market conditions, adds the analyst. Jayaram writes that for 2025, ConocoPhillips projects production of 2,360 MBoe/d, 1% below JPM estimates, while capex guidance of $12.9 billion aligns with JPM estimates. Notably, 2025 capex includes 15% lower spending in the Lower 48 while still delivering low single-digit pro-forma production growth, per the analyst. The analyst says that the production outlook was impacted by ~$600 million in non-core asset sales, planned turnarounds of 20 MBoe/d, and adverse winter weather in the first quarter of 2025, which reduced January production by 60 MBoe/d, or 20 MBoe/d for the quarter. Investors can gain exposure to the COP stock via Texas Capital Funds Trust Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (NYSE:OILT) and IShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (BATS:IEO). Price Action: COP shares are down 0.67% at $99.54 at the last check Thursday. Photo via Shutterstock. Read Next: Trump Prepares Maximum Pressure On Iran: Oil Jumps Above $73, Energy Stocks Rally Latest Ratings for COP Date Firm Action From To Mar 2022 Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight Mar 2022 B of A Securities Downgrades Buy Neutral Mar 2022 RBC Capital Maintains Outperform View More Analyst Ratings for COP View the Latest Analyst Ratings Up Next: Transform your trading with Benzinga Edge's one-of-a-kind market trade ideas and tools. Click now to access unique insights that can set you ahead in today's competitive market. Get the latest stock analysis from Benzinga? CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP): Free Stock Analysis Report This article ConocoPhillips' 2025 Outlook Holds Steady Despite Production Headwinds: JP Morgan originally appeared on Benzinga.com © 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. View Comments
ConocoPhillips' 2025 Outlook Holds Steady Despite Production Headwinds: JP Morgan
07 February 2025 04:44 AM AEDT
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