It's been a good week for PEXA Group Limited (ASX:PXA) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest full-year results, and the shares gained 2.9% to AU$13.98. It was an okay report, and revenues came in at AU$340m, approximately in line with analyst estimates leading up to the results announcement. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on PEXA Group after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for PEXA Group  earnings-and-revenue-growth

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for PEXA Group from twelve analysts is for revenues of AU$400.5m in 2025. If met, it would imply a decent 18% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory losses are forecast to balloon 73% to AU$0.027 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$394.1m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.11 in 2025. So despite reconfirming their revenue estimates, the analysts are now forecasting a loss instead of a profit, which looks like a definite drop in sentiment following the latest results.

The consensus price target held steady at AU$15.14, seemingly implying that the higher forecast losses are not expected to have a long term impact on the company's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values PEXA Group at AU$17.20 per share, while the most bearish prices it at AU$10.57. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of PEXA Group'shistorical trends, as the 18% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 19% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 2.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that PEXA Group is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.



The Bottom Line

The biggest low-light for us was that the forecasts for PEXA Group dropped from profits to a loss next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at AU$15.14, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for PEXA Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also view our analysis of PEXA Group's balance sheet, and whether we think PEXA Group is carrying too much debt, for free  on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.