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Economic News

Jobless Rate Tipped to Reach 4.8% by End-2028 in the RBA's Forecasts

The Reserve Bank's August forecasts have unemployment drifting up to 4.8% by the end of 2028, a gradual loosening that sits at the heart of its plan to bring inflation back to target.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Hiking to Protect Jobs? Hauser Explains the Counterintuitive Logic

Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser told ABC 7.30 that the Reserve Bank's rate rises are aimed at protecting the jobs gains made during COVID, an argument that turns a common assumption about interest rates on its head.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

"The Supply Side Has to Grow": Bullock's Case for Lifting Australia's Speed Limit

Governor Michele Bullock says productivity is "doing nothing" and that "the supply side of the economy has to grow", a reminder that interest rates can only manage demand, not expand the economy's capacity.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

900 Business Conversations a Year: How RBA Liaison Reads the Jobs Market

Alongside official statistics, the Reserve Bank gathers intelligence from around 900 business liaison interviews each year, one of the ways it builds its picture of a labour market it still describes as a little tight.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Company Insolvencies Back Around Their Long-Run Average, FSR Shows

The Reserve Bank's October Financial Stability Review found that company insolvencies have declined relative to the number of operating companies and now sit around their longer-run average, though a major builder's collapse is expected to cause a temporary spike.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Hospitality, Construction and Transport: The Sectors Still Feeling the Strain

The Reserve Bank's October Financial Stability Review found most businesses can manage elevated costs, but singled out hospitality, construction and transport as sectors where stress remains elevated.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Profitable and Cash-Buffered: Why Many Small Firms Look Sturdier Than Pre-Pandemic

More small and medium-sized businesses were profitable in late 2025 than before the pandemic, the Reserve Bank's October Financial Stability Review found, with many firms also holding cash buffers above longer-run averages.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Week One Without Card Surcharges: What Shoppers and Merchants Should Notice

Card surcharges on eftpos, Mastercard and Visa ended on 1 October 2026, with American Express following suit, and the first days of the new regime bring changes at the checkout and on merchants' statements, along with some charges that are untouched.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

Phone Wallets Carry Around 45% of Card Payments: Why the RBA Is Taking a Closer Look

Apple Pay, Google Pay and Samsung Pay accounted for around 45 per cent of all card payments by the end of 2025, and the Reserve Bank's Review of Payments System Regulation is examining what that shift means for competition and access.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026

"Monetary Policy Does Not Target Housing Prices", Bullock Reminds Federal MPs

Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary committee in September that the Reserve Bank does not aim at housing prices, even as she acknowledged that prices remain far above their pre-pandemic level.

Sonal Goyal | 05 October 2026
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