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Economic News

A 5.6% Cash Rate and 6.3% Unemployment: The Stress Scenario Australia's Banks Withstood

What would happen to Australia's banks if the economy took a serious turn for the worse? The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) October 2026 Financial Stability Review, released on 1 October, offers one answer in the form of a stress test: a deliberately harsh, …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

About 0.7% of Loans Set Aside for Losses: How Banks Are Bracing for Tougher Times

Banks do not wait for borrowers to default before preparing for it. They set aside provisions, an accounting buffer recognising losses they expect may arise on their loan books. According to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) October 2026 Financial Stability Review, released on …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

"Sits in the Background": Bullock on the Offset Accounts Behind the Household Debt Picture

Household debt in Australia is usually discussed in gross terms: how much is owed, how fast it is growing and how much of household income goes on repayments. At her media conference on 29 September 2026, after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

"Pretty Well-Placed": Hunter's Upbeat Take on the Typical Mortgage Household

In a year of four rate rises, upbeat language from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) stands out. So when Assistant Governor (Economic) Sarah Hunter described the typical mortgage household in positive terms at the Regions Rising summit in Canberra on 14 September 2026, …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Still Around 50% Above Early-2020 Levels: Putting the Housing Price Dip in Perspective

Australia's housing market has turned. After the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifted the cash rate three times earlier in 2026 and again on 29 September, taking the target to 4.60 per cent from 30 September, the Monetary Policy Board's statement noted that housing …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Home Loans Slow, Business Lending Climbs 10.9%: Australia's Great Credit Divergence

Credit is often discussed as a single number, but the latest data from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) tell two different stories. Released on 30 September 2026, the day the cash rate target of 4.60 per cent took effect, the Financial Aggregates for …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Mortgages Aren't the Main Lever? Bullock Says RBA Research Puts the Dollar First

Public debate about interest rates in Australia tends to start and finish with mortgages. When the cash rate rises, commentary turns to repayments, household budgets and the housing market. Governor Michele Bullock did not dismiss that link at her media conference on 29 September …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Savers Finally Get a Look-In? Kent on Deposit Rates Rising Alongside Loan Rates

Most commentary on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) four cash rate increases in 2026 has centred on mortgage holders. That is understandable. As Governor Michele Bullock put it at her 29 September media conference: "Those who have mortgages, yes, this clearly impacts them …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

Still Working Their Way Through: Why Repayment Pain Lags the Board's Decisions

When the Monetary Policy Board announces a rate decision at 2.30 pm, the change is immediate on paper. The effect on household budgets, spending and ultimately inflation is not. Governor Michele Bullock made this point in her Opening Statement to the House of Representatives …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026

"Quite a Dramatic Slowdown": The Scenario Bullock Says Would Change the Game

Central bankers choose their words carefully, so when a Governor uses the phrase "quite a dramatic slowdown", it is worth understanding precisely what was said and in what context. Michele Bullock used it at her media conference on 29 September 2026, hours after the …

Sonal Goyal | 12 October 2026
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