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Will these 3 Stocks rebound in 2018 – DMP, RFG & AOG?

Jan 08, 2018 | Team Kalkine
Will these 3 Stocks rebound in 2018 – DMP, RFG & AOG?


Stocks’ Details
 

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd

Reaffirmed underlying NPAT growth for FY18: Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) has got its Master Franchise Agreement’s (Australia and New Zealand) term renewed for 10 years till 2028, and this is a positive news for the group. Further, DMP’s confidence in achieving underlying NPAT growth to be in the region of 20% for FY18 through guidance reaffirmation directs to an emanating positive performance. DMP has also reaffirmed its intension to open between 180 and 200 new organic stores in FY18, in addition to the 170 stores added with the Hallo Pizza acquisition.  For the first 17 weeks of trading of FY18, the Group’s Same Store Sales (GSS) grew 5.03% on the previous corresponding period (pcp) due to the high-quality food and reduction of customer friction at every point. The Australia/New Zealand region has posted 4.45% SSS growth, Japan has posted 0.12% SSS growth and the Europe has posted 848% SSS growth on the pcp in the first 17 weeks of trading of FY18. Moreover, DMP for FY18 has upgraded the Same Store Sales growth guidance for Europe to +6-8% (up from +5-7%) as the company has rectified some issues in Europe that impacted growth in the past Financial Year. For FY18, in Australia/New Zealand, DMP is projecting Same Store Sales growth of +7-9%, and expects growth in the second half to be approximately twice that recorded in the first half. In Japan, 0-2% Same Store Sales Growth is expected for the FY18, and this is to be predominantly reflected in the second half. In addition, DMP has updated shareholders that the Court of Appeal in France had upheld a decision in favour of Domino’s Pizza France, in legal action with Speed Rabbit. Meanwhile, DMP stock still seems to be trading at a high price to earnings ratio. While we keep an eye on any potential dip in the stock price for an investment, we give an “Expensive” recommendation at the current price of $46.22
 

Retail Food Group Ltd

Extended its three-year debt facilities:Embattled group, Retail Food Group Ltd (ASX: RFG) expects 1H18 statutory NPAT to be c.$22.0m, below 1H17 NPAT of $33.5m at the back of challenges in retail landscape. On the other hand, the company has successfully completed negotiations to extend its three-year debt facilities of $150 million, due to mature in December 2018, into longer dated maturities. RFG has also reduced the existing five-year debt facilities maturing in December 2020 by $25 million, and RFG’s total senior debt facilities are now around $319 million. Meanwhile, RFG stock has fallen 44.84% in three months as on January 4, 2018 owing to the investors thrashing the group post the profit downgrade. The stock fell like a stone after the company gave the trading update entailing the expected impact of continuous challenging domestic retail conditions and other factors on its 1H18 statutory business performance. We believe that RFG would find it a bit difficult to revive the momentum in the near term and any improvement in the second half of FY18 would need numerous levers to get back in place. Recently, Invesco Australia Ltd was seen to increase the share in the group from 7.86% to 8.96% apparently aiming to benefit from short-term gains. We give a “Hold” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $2.49
 

Aveo Group

Sold its Gasworks Plaza complex:Trading on a low price to earnings level, Aveo Group (ASX: AOG) seems to be better placed than most of its peers in the retirement home sector. The group lately sold its Gasworks Plaza complex in Newstead, Brisbane, to AMP Capital for an effective price of $248.4 million, after a competitive process. The transaction is expected to settle in February 2018 for Gasworks 1 & 2, and in September 2018 for Gasworks 3 on its completion. The company has sold this complex on the eve of the completion of Aveo Newstead, which is a 19-storey world class retirement living tower, that will reach practical completion in May 2018 and will see the entire AOG component of the Gasworks precinct, a massive urban renewal project, completed. Additionally, AOG has reaffirmed financial guidance for FY18 and expects the FY18 EPS of 20.4cps (7.9% growth on 18.9 cps reported in FY17). With forecast earnings per share rise and low price to earnings ratio, there is a potential for an upside momentum. Further, the company is targeting full year distribution amount based on 40%-60% of underlying profit payout range. While the group has been smitten by legacy issues, fundamentals stay healthy and the stock has risen 19.57% in three months as on January 4, 2018. AOG is still a “Buy” at the current price of $2.81
 

FY18 and FY19 Development Deliveries on Track (Source: Company Reports)



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