Kalkine has a fully transformed New Avatar.

blue-chip

Why should investors pay heed to stocks with good free cash flow growth?

Dec 07, 2016 | Team Kalkine
Why should investors pay heed to stocks with good free cash flow growth?

Most of the investors focus on earning per share (EPS). But there is another indicator of company’s prospect and growth, which is FCF (Free Cash Flow). This is because EPS is said to be exposed to manipulation and may not accurate represent how much cash a business has at its disposal. FCF is a key component because it is a much more accurate measure of how much cash a business actually generate after it meets the necessary expenses of its operations and invest in future growth. It is a measure of how much cash a business has to service debt, pay dividend, invest in operations or buy back shares.
 
Companies with high FCF are likely to deploy that excess cash for the capital expenditures necessary to grow their business. A rising levels of cash flows is a good indicator of future earnings gains. For instance, Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL) is making efforts to strengthen their cash flow by controlling costs and aiming for another $35 million annual cost cut from 2019 at its Phosphate Hill plant. Accordingly, Incitec Pivot has undertaken action by accelerating BEx projects. The company has delivered $16 million and has targeted 84 million, i.e., of $100 million in sustainable operating cost and cash savings by 2017. Crown Resorts Ltd.’s (ASX: CWN) net operating cash flow for the period reached $482.7 million for fiscal year of 2016.
 
For income investors, FCF is an indicator of company’s ability to maintain its dividend or even increase its payout. But in case of Incitec Pivot, they slashed their dividends for 2016 as the company faced a lot of operating challenges. However, Crown Resorts Ltd intends to pay 100% dividend of normalized net profit after tax (before minorities and excluding profits from associates but including dividends received from associates). For the full financial year ended 30 June 2016, a final dividend reached 39.5 cents per share, franked to 70% leading to overall dividend for the year to 72.5 cents per share, which is an increase by 96% against 2015 total dividend per share. The group has earnings quality and has shown an impressive growth profile.
 
On the other hand, the negative cash flow not necessarily means the company is facing problems or not growing. This however is expected to put a cap on the dividend payouts. Same time the positive cash flow with declining trend may also indicate for a cut in dividend in near future. We need to be careful while selecting the companies with good cash flow as one criteria. Most mature companies are able to generate excess cash. Comparing free cash flow generated per market or enterprise value provides an excellent way to assess the value of several mature companies. Companies that invest back into the business to fuel growth generally see the benefits in terms of future growth.


Disclaimer
 
The advice given by Kalkine Pty Ltd and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine Pty Ltd ABN 34 154 808 312 (Australian Financial Services License Number 425376). The information on this website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine Pty Ltd, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. You should make your own enquiries about any investments and we strongly suggest you seek advice before acting upon any recommendation. Kalkine Pty Ltd has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine Pty Ltd excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this website and any information published (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine Pty Ltd hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law to the resupply of services. There may be a product disclosure statement or other offer document for the securities and financial products we write about in Kalkine Reports. You should obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement or offer document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them and also have a read of the Financial Services Guide. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine Pty Ltd currently hold positions in:  BHP, BKY, KCN, PDN, and RIO. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations.