mid-cap

Watch Out for One NYSE- Listed Software Stock– UiPath Inc

Mar 04, 2025 | Team Kalkine
Watch Out for One NYSE- Listed Software Stock– UiPath Inc
Image source: shutterstock

PATH:NYSE
Investment Type
Mid - Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (US$)

UiPath Inc

UiPath, Inc. (NYSE: PATH) is an enterprise automation and artificial intelligence (AI) software company. The Company is principally focused on building and managing automations and developing computer vision technology. The Company provides its customers with a set of capabilities that allow them to discover opportunities for automation, automate using a digital workforce that seamlessly collaborates with humans, and operate a mission-critical automation program at scale.

Recent Business and Financial Updates

  • UiPath, Inc. Highlights Agentic Automation Vision and Strong Q3 FY 2025 Results: UiPath, Inc. (PATH), a leader in AI-powered automation, reaffirmed its position at the forefront of the enterprise automation market with its third quarter fiscal 2025 financial results and strategic announcements, as articulated by Daniel Dines, Founder and Chief Executive Officer. At the annual FORWARD user conference in October 2024, UiPath unveiled its visionary roadmap for agentic automation, a transformative leap from robotic process automation (RPA) that integrates AI agents, robots, people, and models to drive enterprise-wide AI transformation. Dines emphasized, “Our customers’ response to the agentic automation vision and roadmap… reinforces our leading position in the AI-powered automation market,” highlighting UiPath’s differentiated approach to automating complex, variable workflows, expanding its market opportunity, and delivering significant value to customers.
  • Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance: For the third quarter ended October 31, 2024, UiPath reported revenue of USD 355 million, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, driven by robust demand for its automation solutions. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached USD 1.607 billion, up 17% from the previous year, with a new net ARR of USD 56 million and a dollar-based net retention rate of 113%, indicating strong customer retention and expansion. Financial metrics further showcased operational efficiency, with a GAAP gross margin of 82% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 85%, alongside a GAAP operating loss of USD 43 million offset by a non-GAAP operating income of USD 50 million. UiPath generated net cash flow from operations of USD 28 million and non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow of USD 33 million, bolstering its financial position with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling USD 1.6 billion, positioning the Company for sustained growth and investment in innovation.
  • Strategic Business Developments and Partnerships: UiPath’s recent business highlights underscore its commitment to advancing agentic automation and fostering strategic partnerships. The introduction of Agent Builder™, a tool within the UiPath Studio family, enables developers to create, evaluate, and deploy enterprise agents that collaborate with robots, enhancing customization and adaptability for complex workflows across industries. Additionally, UiPath announced an integrated offering with SAP Build Process Automation, positioning its platform as a SAP Solution Extension to drive enterprise-wide automation for SAP customers, unlocking cost savings and scalability. A partnership with Inflection AI, leveraging Inflection for Enterprise and Intel’s Tiber AI Cloud with Gaudi 3 processors, targets security-focused industries, enhancing operational efficiency while prioritizing trust and security, further solidifying UiPath’s leadership in AI-driven automation.
  • Financial Outlook for Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025: Looking ahead, UiPath provided guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, anticipating revenue between USD 422 million and USD 427 million, with ARR projected to range from USD 1.669 billion to USD 1.674 billion as of January 31, 2025. The Company expects non-GAAP operating income of approximately USD 100 million, reflecting confidence in its operational execution and product innovation investments. However, UiPath noted that a reconciliation of non-GAAP operating income guidance to GAAP measures is not available without unreasonable effort due to the variability and complexity of charges like stock-based compensation, which are subject to unpredictable fluctuations in stock price, indicating potential challenges in precise financial forecasting but underscoring its focus on stabilizing net new ARR and accelerating non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow growth in fiscal year 2026.
  • Leadership Perspective on Operational Efficiency and Growth: Ashim Gupta, UiPath’s Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer, commented on the Q3 results, stating, “We are pleased to report third quarter results ahead of our expectations, reflecting our team’s improving execution.” Gupta highlighted the Company’s return to its entrepreneurial roots, emphasizing a customer-centric approach and organizational efficiency to drive long-term value. He expressed optimism that these efforts, combined with ongoing investments in product innovation, will stabilize net new ARR dollars while enhancing non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow growth in fiscal 2026, reinforcing UiPath’s strategic focus on delivering sustainable growth and shareholder value through its AI and automation leadership.
  • Market Impact and Industry Recognition: UiPath’s agentic automation vision, unveiled at FORWARD 2024, has garnered significant industry attention, with the Company recognizing 25 innovative customers through its AI25 Awards and honoring global and regional partners for their commitment to enterprise AI adoption. Additionally, a partnership with Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison aims to upskill 100,000 Indonesian knowledge workers in enterprise automation by 2027, positioning Indonesia as a global AI and automation talent hub. UiPath’s annual State of the Automation Professional Report revealed that 90% of automation professionals are integrating or planning to integrate AI within the next year, driven by productivity gains (66%), further solidifying UiPath’s market leadership and its role in shaping the future of enterprise automation, despite potential challenges in maintaining growth amidst competitive pressures and market volatility.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands at a value of 30.72, downward trending and moving towards oversold zone, with expectations of a consolidation or an upward momentum if the important support levels of USD10-USD 11 hold. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is below both 50-Day SMA and 200-Day SMA, which can act as a short to medium term resistance.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Watch’ rating has been given to UiPath, Inc. (NYSE: PATH) at the closing price of USD 11.76, as of March 03, 2025. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is March 03, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.


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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.