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Two Agriculture stocks - Nufarm and Graincorp

Jun 18, 2017 | Team Kalkine
Two Agriculture stocks - Nufarm and Graincorp

Nufarm Limited


NUF Details
 
Positive progress on omega-3 canola: For H1FY17, Nufarm Limited (ASX: NUF) 15% yoy growth in revenue at $1.36 billion and posted 67% yoy surge in underlying net profit after tax to $19.8 million. The company remains on track to deliver improved earnings growth for the full year if normal seasonal conditions are experienced in the major cropping regions. However, it expects the global crop protection market to remain very competitive, with low soft commodity pricing prevailing due to the strong crop harvests in key regions. Further, Nuseed (wholly owned subsidiary) has completed preparation for regulatory approvals of its innovative long-chain omega-3 canola and filed in Australia, United States and Canada, while pending regulatory approvals, commercialization is expected to commence in 2018 or 2019. Importantly these regulatory milestones in all three countries gives the company both timing and location options as it commercializes canola based long-chain omega-3. Nuseed's proprietary canola will provide long-chain omega-3 oils, similar to those found in fish oil, using a sustainable land-based source. It has been developed through collaboration between Nuseed, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) and the Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC).

NUF stock moved up 13.9% (as of June 16, 2017) in the last six months, while it was up 36.7% in the last one year, and currently trading close to its 52 week elevated levels.We give an “Expensive” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $ 10.02


NUF Daily chart; (Source: Thomson Reuters) 

Graincorp Ltd


GNC Details
 
Australian grain harvest and better export volumes drove the stock: For H1FY17, Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) reported an EBITDA of $236 million as compared to $134 million in the prior corresponding period (pcp) and consequently drove the underlying NPAT to $100 million from $32 million in H1FY16. The group expects to reach their full year EBITDA estimate of $385-$425 million and underlying NPAT of $130 -$160 million. Importantly, H1FY17 performance was driven by the large Australian grain harvest, better export volumes coupled with the group’s network efficiency efforts and cost management. Further, storage and Logistics segments performed well in response to the significant challenges of the record harvest by developing a modern, efficient network through project regeneration which resulted in average receivals per site rising to 70,000 tons from 40,000 tons last harvest.  Management reported that their malt plant expansion in Pocatello, Idaho would become online in July 2017, which will double the available capacity at the site. GNC is also enhancing their sales mix with a better focus on higher margin products and better canola supply drove oil supply with lower procurement costs.

The company has completed the sale of its investment in Allied Mills Australia Pty Ltd (Allied Mills) to funds advised by Pacific Equity Partners following regulatory approvals. Proceeds from the transaction are expected to be $190 million (pre-tax and transaction costs), with further benefit of $35 million of franking credits. GNC stock moved up 12.4% over the past three months and trading close to its 52 week high levels. We give an “Expensive” recommendation on the stock at the current price of $ 10.08


GNC Daily chart; (Source: Thomson Reuters)


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