Mid-Cap

THREE STOCKS TO BOOST YOUR DIVIDEND GROWTH

November 04, 2015 | Team Kalkine
THREE STOCKS TO BOOST YOUR DIVIDEND GROWTH

G8 Education Ltd



     GEM Dividend Details
 
Targeting growth via acquisitions: G8 Education Ltd (ASX: GEM) fell over 25.35% (as of November 03, 2015) during this year to date on investors’ concerns over its Affinity takeover battle and the group’s heavy dependence on acquisitions to achieve growth. GEM was in talks with Affinity for a potential takeover, so that the group could boost its Australian childcare centers. However, the takeover panel ordered GEM to sell off the affinity shares acquired by the group from taxonomy in excess of 20% of the total voting power in Affinity. The panel also issued withdrawal rights to Affinity shareholders who accepted the GEM’s bid. On the other hand, Affinity Education agreed the terms of Anchorage Capital which bid for 92 cents per Affinity security, against the GEM’s recent cash offer of 80 cents for each Affinity share. However, investors need to note that G8 Education Ltd built a strong network of 457 centers in Australia and 18 centers in Singapore, after adding 21 new centers in first half of FY2015. GEM need to settle 17 more centers, and after this GEM expects to have 35,125 licensed places in Australia. G8 Education also delivered solid performance with a 5.6% year on year (yoy) revenue growth (for its 229 centers Like for Like growth) during the first half of fiscal 2015. The group’s underlying EPS soared 60% on a year over year basis during the same period, demonstrating its capabilities of deriving synergies through acquisitions.
 

Like for Like center EBIT growth for acquisitions by year (Source: Company Reports)
 
Moreover, to encourage both the parents to work, over $3.5 billion worth of government’s federal budget was allotted to childcare. This move by the government would also boost GEM’s centers’ growth and subsequently drive the group’s price per child revenue. GEM also has an outstanding dividend yield of over 7.55% (which looks sustainable given low finance and regulatory related risks to the company) and is trading at a reasonable valuation with a P/E of 16.93x. We continue to have our bullish stance on the stock and reiterate our BUY recommendation at the current price of  $3.29
 
 

 

Vita Group Ltd



VTG Dividend Details
 
Solid telecom retail growth drove overall performance: Vita Group Limited (ASX: VTG) reported a solid revenue growth of 34% yoy to $601.4 million during fiscal year of 2015, driven by the outstanding telecom retail performance by 43% yoy to $541.5 million. The group investments in the telecom segment paid off with SMB, Enterprise and Sprout improving by 79%, 60% and 77%, respectively, with respect to revenue growth while the like for like stores generated 26% increase. Vita opened 5 Telstra stores and 4TBCs leading to 137 points of presence of its telecom retail in FY15. Meanwhile, Vita reported a 45% yoy increase in its underlying EBITDA to $39.2 million, driven by the group’s cost control efforts in retail. Accordingly, Vita also rewarded shareholders by improving its total ordinary dividend by 72% to 7.98 cents per share in FY15 as compared to 4.64 cents per share in FY14. The group also enhanced its operating cash flows to $35.3 million in FY15 from $17.6 million in FY14.
 

Optimizing portfolio to revamp growth (Source: Company Reports)
 
Stock Outlook: Vita has a history of rewarding shareholders with dividends, but the shares of Vita corrected over 19.53% (as of November 03, 2015) in the last three months, as investors were uncertain over the group’s ability to deliver dividends on the back of uncertain market conditions.
 

Dividend (Source: Company Reports)
 
On the other hand, the group reported a solid FY15 performance and even declared additional special dividends of 2 cents per share apart from its earlier special dividends of 6 cents per share. The group even delivered solid operational efficiency during the fiscal year and intends to continue its focus on its physical portfolio optimization. Vita continues to expand its product offerings and will further invest on its people programs. The stock is trading at attractive valuations with a cheaper P/E of 9.94x as well as has a decent dividend yield of 4.61%. Based on the foregoing, we give a BUY recommendation on the stock at the current price of  $1.67
 
 
 

Retail Food Group Ltd



               RFG Dividend Details
 
Targeting international coffee and franchise market penetration via strategic acquisitions to generate growth: Retail Food Group Limited (ASX: RFG) made strategic acquisitions during fiscal year of 2015  to enhance its global presence through Cafe2U which is a mobile coffee van franchise, Gloria Jean’s Coffees Group and Di Bella Coffee. Accordingly, RFG’s domestic brand systems EBITDA surged over 16.6% yoy to $66 million in FY15, while its international brand systems EBITDA delivered outstanding performance during the period rising by 619% yoy (includes coffee & allied beverage sales to brand systems franchisee)  to $15.1 million. Coffee wholesale EBITDA surged to $7.7 million during the fiscal year from $0.4 million in FY14. The group now has over 2,500 franchised outlets across the globe. The group’s underlying Net Profit after Tax increase by 49.3% yoy to $55.1m million in FY15 and it further reported an increase of 5.7% yoy of total dividends to 23.25 cps.
 

Network highlights (Source: Company Reports)
 
Stock Outlook: The group is already leveraging its expanded network and launched its Brand Systems in several international markets and even started international distribution hubs and coffee roasting facilities worldwide.
 


Dividend, EPS and Payout Ratio (Source: Company Reports)
 
With the acquisition business contributing over $19.8 million to the RFG’s FY15 underlying EBITDA, the group estimates a better FY16 for acquisition assets which might contribute over $35 million in underlying EBITDA. The shares of RFG generated over 5.88% (As of November 03, 2015) in the last four weeks and we believe that the positive momentum in the stock would continue to grow given its better FY16 outlook and long term potential. The stock also has a decent dividend yield of 4.97%. Accordingly, we give a BUY recommendation on the stock at the current price of  $4.65
 
 



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