Blue-Chip

One NASDAQ-Listed Technology Stock Trading near Resistance Level: Micron Technology Inc

March 30, 2023 | Team Kalkine
One NASDAQ-Listed Technology Stock Trading near Resistance Level: Micron Technology Inc

Micron Technology, Inc.

MU Details

Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) is a provider of memory and storage solutions. The Company's product portfolio includes dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), negative-AND (NAND), three-dimensional (3D) XPoint memory, and NOR, solid-state drives, graphics and high bandwidth memory (HBM), managed NAND and multichip packages.

Financial Results

  • The company has announced results for the Q2 of fiscal year 2023, which ended March 2, 2023. It reported revenues of $3.69 Bn as compared to $4.09 Bn for the prior quarter as well as $7.79 Bn for the same period of the last year.
  • Notably, customer inventories are getting better, and the company is expecting gradual improvements to the industry’s supply-demand balance.
  • MU’s operating cash flow amounted to $343 Mn as compared to $943 Mn for the prior quarter and $3.63 Bn for the same period of the last year.
  • The company closed Q2 of 2023 with cash, marketable investments, and restricted cash of $12.12 Bn.

Outlook

The company is confident in the long-term demand as well as it is deploying prudently in order to preserve the technology as well as product portfolio competitiveness. For Q3 FY 2023 (GAAP outlook), the company is expecting revenue of $3.70 billion (± $200 million).

Key Risks

Volatility in the average selling prices of the products, the highly competitive nature of the industry, etc. are some of the risks MU is exposed to.

Fundamental Valuation

EV/Sales Multiple Based Valuation

Stock Recommendation

The stock has been valued using EV/Sales multiple-based illustrative relative valuation and the target price so arrived reflects a decline of low double-digit (in % terms). A slight discount has been applied to EV/Sales multiple-based (NTM) (Peer Average) considering higher competition, geopolitical risks, etc.  

Hence, considering the target level attainment, resistance around the current trading levels, macro-economic uncertainties hovering around the broader market on the back of rising inflationary pressure and increasing cost of capital, a ‘Sell’ rating is assigned to “MU” stock at the current market price of USD 63.70 (as of March 30, 2023) at 07:01 AM PST.

Technical Overview:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for share price chart is based on 30 March 2023. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.


Disclaimer - This report has been issued by Kalkine Pty Limited (ABN 34 154 808 312) (Australian financial services licence number 425376) (“Kalkine”) and prepared by Kalkine and its related bodies corporate authorised to provide general financial product advice. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine.

Any advice provided in this report is general advice only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it.

There may be a Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or other offer document for the securities or other financial products referred to in Kalkine reports. You should obtain a copy of the relevant Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or offer document and consider the statement or document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product.

You should also seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice in this report or on the Kalkine website. Not all investments are appropriate for all people.

The information in this report and on the Kalkine website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. Kalkine has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice.

Kalkine does not guarantee the performance of, or returns on, any investment. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report, the Kalkine website and any information published on the Kalkine website (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law, to the resupply of services.

Please also read our Terms & Conditions and Financial Services Guide for further information.

Employees and/or associates of Kalkine and its related entities may hold interests in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the Kalkine website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

Kalkine Media Pty Ltd, an affiliate of Kalkine Pty Ltd, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website.