Blue-Chip

Technical Analysis on One NYSE-Listed Financial Stock- HDB

January 17, 2024 | Team Kalkine
Technical Analysis on One NYSE-Listed Financial Stock- HDB

HDB:NYSE
Investment Type
Large-cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (US$)

HDFC Bank Ltd. (NYSE: HDB)

HDFC Bank Ltd. (NYSE: HDB) is involved in offering banking and financial services, encompassing activities such as commercial banking and treasury operations.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

The current stock price of HDB is hovering near significant levels, hinting at the potential for an upward reversal following a period of consolidation. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, is at 22.53, indicating an oversold condition and implying the likelihood of an upward rebound. Despite this, the stock is presently situated below both its 21-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), posing temporary resistance in the short term. This suggests that, while there is potential for a positive turnaround, the stock may face challenges in overcoming the resistance posed by these moving averages in the near future.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating has been given to HDFC Bank Ltd. at its current price of USD 56.45 as of January 17, 2024, 07:30 am PST. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

How to Read the Charts?

The yellow colour line reflects the 21-period simple moving average (SMA) while the blue line indicates the 50- period simple moving average (SMA). SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The orange colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The red and green colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps with easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices. 

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is January 8, 2024, 08:55 am PST. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3:  Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.  

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement.  

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individual. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.



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