Kalkine has a fully transformed New Avatar.

mid-cap

Should you buy this NYSE-Listed Business Service Play - WEX

Nov 12, 2021 | Team Kalkine
Should you buy this NYSE-Listed Business Service Play - WEX

WEX, Inc.

WEX Details

WEX Inc. (NYSE: WEX) is a company that provides financial technology services. Fleet Solutions, Travel and Corporate Solutions, and Health and Employee Benefit Solutions are the Company's three segments. The Fleet Solutions segment provides customers with payment and transaction processing services specifically designed for the needs of commercial and government fleets.

Latest News:

  • Appointment of a Chief Operating Officer: Robert Deshaies has been named Chief Operating Officer (COO), Americas, as part of the reorganization, which will take effect on January 1, 2022. In this newly created post, Mr Deshaies will supervise the strategic growth and collaboration across Fleet, Health, Corporate Payments, and Travel in the Americas.

Q3FY21 Results:

  • Robust Revenue Generation: Total revenue climbed by 26% to $482.8 million in Q3FY21, compared to $382.1 million in Q3FY20. The good impact of gasoline prices was $34.9 million in the quarter, while the favorable impact of foreign currency rates was $1.0 million.
  • Increase in Net Income: On a GAAP basis, net income attributable to shareholders was $48.3 million, or $1.07 per diluted share, an improvement from a loss of $65.8 million, or $(1.49) per diluted share in Q3FY20. The Company's adjusted net income attributable to shareholders, a non-GAAP metric, was $111.1 million, or $2.45 per diluted share, in Q3FY21, up 54% from $70.9 million, or $1.59 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year.
  • Adequate Balance Sheet: On September 30, 2021, the revolving credit facility had a borrowing capacity of $665 million along with available cash of $145 million.

Performance Metrics for Q3FY21:

  • The average number of vehicles serviced in Q3FY21 was 16.2 million, up 6% over the previous quarter.
  • The total number of fuel transactions handled increased by 8% YoY to 161.8 million. The number of transactions processed increased by 11% to 134.0 million.
  • The Travel and Corporate Solutions segment's purchasing volume was $12.8 billion in Q3FY21 vs. $4.7 billion in the previous quarter.
  • Health and Employee Benet Solutions' average number of Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) accounts in the United States was 16.9 million in Q3FY21, up from 14.6 million in the previous quarter.

Key Risks:

  • Fuel Price Fluctuations: Since a large portion of WEX revenues is derived from the dollar amount of fuel purchased by or through our customers and from our fuel retailer partners, a decrease in demand for fuel and other vehicle products and services, as well as volatility in fuel prices, could have a material adverse impact on Company's revenues and financial condition.
  • Stiff Competition: The payments solutions market is a cutthroat business. Such competition might have a significant negative impact on Company's fees, margins, and ability to acquire, maintain, and extend customer relationships on favorable terms.

Outlook:

  • Revenue & EBITDA Estimates: The Company forecasts revenue of $468 million to $483 million in Q4FY21 and adjusted net income of $102 million to $111 million, or $2.25 to $2.45 per diluted share.

Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations (in thousands except per share data):

  • With growth rates of 26% and 54%, the Company surpassed the high end of revenue and adjusted earnings estimates.
  • Significantly increased margins in the Fleet and Travel & Corporate Solutions segments, driven by strong organic growth and continuous integration of acquired businesses.
  • During Q3FY21, the Company handled $26 billion in purchases, up 93% from the previous quarter.
  • In Q3FY21, adjusted net income per diluted share climbed by 54% to USD 2.45, up from USD 1.59 in Q3FY20.

 

Valuation Methodology: Price / Earnings Multiple Based Relative Valuation

(Analysis by Kalkine Group)

  • % Premium/(Discount) is based on our assessment of the Company's NTM trading multiple after considering its key growth drivers, economic moat, stock's historical trading multiples versus peer average/median, and investment risks.

WEX Daily Technical Chart (Source: REFINITIV)

Stock Recommendation:

Building on the strong momentum of the first half of the year, the Company's third-quarter results exceeded expectations, with revenues significantly exceeding the previous quarterly high and adjusted profitability up YoY and sequentially. Its outstanding adjusted profits results were fueled by higher-than-expected volume in the Fleet Solutions and Travel and Corporate Solutions sectors, as well as double-digit revenue growth in both. Therefore, based on the above rationale and valuation, we have given a "Buy" rating at the current price of USD 150.37 on November 12, 2021, at 10:55 AM ET.

* The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

* All forecasted figures and industry information have been taken from REFINITIV.

Technical Analysis Summary:


Disclaimer - This report has been issued by Kalkine Pty Limited (ABN 34 154 808 312) (Australian financial services licence number 425376) (“Kalkine”) and prepared by Kalkine and its related bodies corporate authorised to provide general financial product advice. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine.

Any advice provided in this report is general advice only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it.

There may be a Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or other offer document for the securities or other financial products referred to in Kalkine reports. You should obtain a copy of the relevant Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or offer document and consider the statement or document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product.

You should also seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice in this report or on the Kalkine website. Not all investments are appropriate for all people.

The information in this report and on the Kalkine website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. Kalkine has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice.

Kalkine does not guarantee the performance of, or returns on, any investment. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report, the Kalkine website and any information published on the Kalkine website (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law, to the resupply of services.

Please also read our Terms & Conditions and Financial Services Guide for further information.

On the date of publishing this report (referred to on the Kalkine website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine and its related entities do not hold interests in any of the securities or other financial products covered on the Kalkine website.


Kalkine Media Pty Ltd, an affiliate of Kalkine Pty Ltd, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website.