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One US stock to hold – AAPL

Aug 02, 2019 | Team Kalkine
One US stock to hold – AAPL

 

Apple Inc.


AAPL Details

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is one of the leading players in mobile communication & media devices, and PC (personal computers). The company offers a wide range of software & services, accessories and third-party digital content and applications. The company is well known for its product portfolio, which includes iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, AirPods, Apple TV, HomePod.Apart from this, AAPL’s software applications include macOS, iOS, iCloud, watchOS and tvOS operating systems, Apple Pay, etc.

Recent Developments: AAPL recently, inked an agreement with Intel to acquire the majority of Intel’s smartphone modem business for the transaction value of $1 billionand the deal is likely to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2019, subject to approvals and conditions. The development will bring in ~2,200 Intel headcounts to AAPL, along with intellectual property, equipment and leases. The agreement will lead Apple to focus more on developing 5G technology to align with the need of a global customer base.

3QFY19 Results Highlights: AAPLreported 3QFY19 results beating the services revenue touching a new all-time high. Revenue stood at $53.8 billion, posting a growth of 1% from the corresponding period last year. Basic and diluted EPS (earnings per share) came in at $2.20 and $2.18, respectively, for the quarter.  


Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Source: Company Reports)

Product and Services performance: Looking at the product & services’ contribution mix, iPhone was the main contributor toward revenue and accounted for 48%, during the quarter. Whereas, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home & Accessories denoted ~11%, ~9% and ~10% of the top-line, respectively. Services accounted for ~21% of the total revenue during the quarter.

The company proved to be a decent performer in June quarter on account of an all-time record revenue from Services segment. However, net sales for iPhone declined in the quarter amid lower iPhone unit sales. Mac posted a growth of 11% in net sales due to higher sales of MacBook Air®. Further, iPad Pro®, and AirPods & Apple Watch supported the top-line growth for iPad and Wearables, Home and Accessories, respectively.


3Q Net sales by category (Source: Company Reports)

Segment Operating Performance: The Company manages its business primarily on a geographic basis with reportable segments - Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific.Healthy performance was seen across the segments with Americas growing at 2% during the quarter. The Management expects the remaining CY 2019 to be an exciting period owing to the launch of various new services and products.
 
During the quarter, net sales in the Americas witnessed a growth of 2% due to higher growth in Wearables, Home and Accessories and Services. Europe and Greater China net sales growth were negative due to lower iPhone net sales, partially offset by higher net sales of Wearables, Home and Accessories and Services. Japan and Rest of Asia Pacific achieved decent growth at 6% and 13% year-over-year, respectively, for the quarter.

Net sales by reportable segment (Source: Company Reports)
 
Products Gross Margin for 3QFY19 declined to 30.4% from 32.8%in 3QFY18, mainly driven by the weakness of foreign currencies relative to the U.S. dollar. Contrary to this, Services Gross Margin increased to 64.1% in 3QFY19 from 61.8%in 3QFY18 due to higher net sales of services.


Gross Margin (Source: Company Reports)
 
The results expressed a year-over-year improvement in terms of business performance in comparison with the March quarter.

Share Repurchase Program: The company on April 30, 2019, updated that it has increased the current share repurchase program authorization from $100 billion to $175 billion, out of which, $78.2 billion had been utilized as of June 29, 2019.

4QFY19 Guidance: AAPL projects revenue for the fourth quarter of FY19 to be in the range of $61 billion to $64 billion. Gross margin for the period is anticipated to be in the range of 37.5% to 38.5%. Other income is likely to come in at $200 million and operating expenses are targeted to be between $8.7 billion and $8.8 billion during the fourth quarter of FY19. Tax rate is projected to be at ~16.5%.

Stock Recommendation: At the current market price of $213.04, the stock is trading at a price to earnings multiple of 18.16x with a current yield of 1.48% and an annualized dividend of $3.08 and beta of 1.02x. Currently, the stock is trending towards the higher end of its 52-week high & low range of $233.47 - $142. Considering the strong performance in 3QFY19 backed by Mac, iPad and services, excellent product portfolio, Wearable, Home and Accessories as a major stand out, decent guidance for 4QFY19, etc., we recommend a “Hold” rating on the stock at the current price of $213.04, up 2.04% as on 31 July 2019.
 
AAPL Daily Technical Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)


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