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One Uranium and Energy Company Trading Near Resistance Levels - AGE

Apr 02, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Uranium and Energy Company Trading Near Resistance Levels - AGE

AGE:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on the 2 April 2024 at 3:55 PM AEDT.

Alligator Energy Limited (ASX: AGE)

Alligator Energy Limited (ASX: AGE) is an Australian exploration company.  The firm engaged in uranium and energy other minerals, principally cobalt and nickel. The Company's projects include Samphire, Big Lake, Alligator Rivers (ARUP) and Piedmont.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.0635

  • Financial Performance: AGE's other income - interest stood at AUD 0.37mn 1HFY24 vs AUD 0.063mn in 1HFY23, supported by a rise in interest rate and higher average cash balances in hand during the period. AGE booked loss of AUD 1.49mn in 1HFY24, due to higher exploration cost. The company's cash and cash equivalent stood at AUD 36.54mn as on 31 December 2023 compared to AUD 18.50mn as on 30 June 2023.
  • Outlook: Big Lake Uranium (BLU), South Australia drilling is planned to commence in April/May 2024 with up to forty holes averaging 150m in length. This segment of the basin's maiden uranium drilling program is largely intended as a proof-of-concept test. The company established an exploration target range (range) for the Samphire Uranium Project.
  • Emerging Risks: Climate change poses significant risks to exploration companies through increased regulatory scrutiny, operational disruptions, and financial liabilities associated with carbon emissions, resource depletion.
  • TTM-Based Valuation: On a TTM basis, the stock of AGE is trading at a Price/Book Value multiple of 5.5x compared to the Industry Median (Energy) of 1.2x and thus seems overvalued.
  • Technical Commentary: On the daily chart, AGE prices are trading below the horizontal trendline support zone. Moreover, the momentum oscillator RSI (14-period) is showing a reading of ~56.70 level. However, the prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA, which may act as a support level. An important support level for the stock is placed at AUD 0.057, while the key resistance level is placed at AUD 0.065. 

AGE Daily Chart

Considering that the stock is trading near to its R2 level, the current trading levels, rally in share price movement, and risks associated, it is prudent to book profit at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 0.0635, at 10:15 AM as of April 02, 2024, AEDT.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is April 02, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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