rhipe Limited
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RHP Details

Update on a Non-Binding Proposal: rhipe Limited (ASX: RHP) is engaged in the wholesale of subscription software licenses to various technology service provider resellers. It provides cloud licensing and solutions for its software vendors across the Asia Pacific region. RHP has informed regarding a non-binding and conditional proposal from Crayon Group Holding ASA (Crayon) to acquire 100% shares of RHP on 1 July 2021. Crayon is likely to acquire 100% shares of RHP through a scheme of arrangement for $2.50 per share (excluding dividends after the date of proposal). The condition for proposal includes the completion of due diligence and negotiation of a Scheme Implementation deed, approval from shareholders, FFIRB approval and regulatory approvals. At the same time, the company has suggested that the proposal is indicative in nature and there is no certainty that the proposal may take place. Henceforth, investors are advised not to take any action.
Notice on an Initial Substantial Holder: MA Financial Group Limited (MAF) has become an initial substantial holder in Rhipe Limited by holding 5.12% of voting power on 16 June 2021.
Financial Highlights: RHP has registered an increase in sales to $273.1mn in Q3 YTD FY21 against $236.5mn in Q3 YTD FY20. The company has posted an increase in operating profit to $13.2mn in Q3 YTD FY21 against $9.7mn in Q3 YTD FY20. During 1HFY21, the company has posted a cash balance of $57.51mn as on 31 December 2020, down from $60.92mn as on 30 June 2020. RHP has posted an increase in non-current liabilities to $6.05mn as on 31 December 2020 against $4.65mn as on 30 June 2020.

Revenue trend (Source: Analysis by Kalkine Group)
Key Risks: The company is exposed to foreign exchange prices. Therefore, any adverse change in foreign exchange prices may impact the financials of the company. In addition, the company is exposed to technology risks. Therefore, obsolete technology may impact the business of the company.
Outlook: RHP expects its operating profit to be more than $18mn for FY21 considering a robust growth in Q3FY21.
Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales based Relative Valuation Method (Illustrative)

Source: Analysis by Kalkine Group
*% Premium/(Discount) is based on our assessment of the company’s NTM trading multiple after considering its key growth drivers, economic moat, stock's historical trading multiples versus peer average/median, and investment risks.
Stock Recommendation: The stock of RHP gave a return of ~38.67% in the last one month and a return of ~46.35% in the last three months. The current market capitalisation of RHP stands at ~$336.64mn as of 01 July 2021. The stock is currently trading above the average 52-weeks’ price level range of ~$1.545-~$2.53. We have valued the stock using the EV/Sales multiple-based illustrative relative valuation method and arrived at a target price with a correction of low double-digit (in % terms). We believe that the company can trade at a slight premium as compared to its peer median, considering the company has seen an increase in sales and operating profit in Q3 YTD FY21. For this purpose, we have taken peers Appen Ltd (ASX: APX), TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE), Livetiles Ltd (ASX: LVT) to name a few. Considering the company has witnessed a decline in cash balance and an increase in non-current liabilities as on 31 December 2020, decent stock price movement in the past few days, and valuation, we suggest investors to book profit and give a “Sell” rating on the stock at the current market price of $2.51, up by 20.09% as on Jul 1, 2021, owing to the update regarding the non-binding indicative proposal from Crayon Group Holding ASA.

RHP Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV
Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 2: Investment decision should be made depending on the investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above.
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.
Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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