Kalkine has a fully transformed New Avatar.

small-cap

One Solar Power and Battery Company Trading Near Resistance Levels- CSIQ

Dec 29, 2023 | Team Kalkine
One Solar Power and Battery Company Trading Near Resistance Levels- CSIQ

CSIQ:NASDAQ
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (US$)

Canadian Solar Inc.

CSIQ Details

Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is the solar power and battery company. The Company is the provider of solar power products, services and system solutions with operations in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Australia as well as Asia.

Financial Results

  • The company has released financial results for 3Q ended September 30, 2023. It has witnessed 39% rise in solar module shipments YoY to 8.3 GW. Its net revenues stood at $1.85 Bn, with the 16.7% gross margin as well as net income attributable to Canadian Solar stood at $0.32 per diluted share.
  • It delivered robust profitability in Q3 FY 2023 with the continued progress on the capacity diversification, despite lower-than-expected market demand growth because of increased interest rate environment driving higher inventories in certain markets.
  • The company’s revenue in Q3 FY 2023 was sequentially lower for the Recurrent Energy business. It monetized 18 MWp Hiroshima Suzuhari project in Japan as well as several smaller but collectively meaningful projects in Taiwan.

Key Updates

CSIQ announced that e-STORAGE, which is the part of the Company's majority-owned subsidiary CSI Solar Co., Ltd., would be launching SolBank 3.0, the latest iteration of the utility-scale energy storage system.

Outlook

The outlook is subject to uncertainty regarding the customer demand, project construction and sale schedules, product sales prices as well as costs, etc. For Q4 FY 2023, the company is expected to post total revenue in between $1.6 Bn - $1.8 Bn.

Fundamental Valuation

P/E Based Relative Valuation (Illustrative)

Key Risks

CSIQ is exposed to the risks related to the supply chain constraints, geopolitical conflicts, the state of the solar as well as battery storage market and industry, etc.

Stock Recommendation

The stock has made a 52-week low and high of USD 17.82 and USD 45.29, respectively. The company is exposed to risks like delays in new product introduction, delays in utility-scale project approval process, etc. Therefore, investors should exit the stock.

Hence, a ‘Sell’ rating has been provided on the stock at the closing price of USD 26.43 per share, up by 2.4% as on 28th December 2023.

Technical Overview:

Daily Price Chart

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.


Disclaimer-

This report has been issued by Kalkine Pty Limited (ABN 34 154 808 312) (Australian financial services licence number 425376) (“Kalkine”) and prepared by Kalkine and its related bodies corporate authorised to provide general financial product advice. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine.

Any advice provided in this report is general advice only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it.

There may be a Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or other offer document for the securities or other financial products referred to in Kalkine reports. You should obtain a copy of the relevant Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or offer document and consider the statement or document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product.

You should also seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice in this report or on the Kalkine website. Not all investments are appropriate for all people.

The information in this report and on the Kalkine website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. Kalkine has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice.

Kalkine does not guarantee the performance of, or returns on, any investment. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report, the Kalkine website and any information published on the Kalkine website (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law, to the resupply of services. Please note past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Please also read our Terms & Conditions and Financial Services Guide for further information.

Employees and/or associates of Kalkine and its related entities may hold interests in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the Kalkine website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

Kalkine Media Pty Ltd, an affiliate of Kalkine Pty Ltd, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website including entities covered in this Report.