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One Software & Services Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – BTH

Sep 18, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Software & Services Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – BTH

BTH:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on 18 September 2024 at 1:08 PM AEST.

Bigtincan Holdings Limited (ASX: BTH) 

BTH is a provider of AI-powered sales enablement automation software, empowering organisations to enhance sales productivity and customer engagement. With its innovative platform, the company enables seamless content management, training, and collaboration for mobile sales teams, driving efficiency and effectiveness.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.165

  • Trading Around Resistance: BTH’s share price surpassed its R2 level recommended on 11 September 2024.
  • No Dividend Paid: During FY24, BTH did not distribute dividends, despite seeing an increase in EBITDA. If future financial performance is weaker than expected or fails to meet expectations, it could result in a decrease in the company's stock price.
  • FY24 Financial Performance: Total revenue in FY24 was down ~4.8% YoY, affected by delays in certain end-of-period service contracts and a 38% decline in EMEA revenue, which dropped from AUD 14.7mn in FY23 to AUD 8.9mn in FY24. Gross profit declined 4% YoY in FY24. The company reported a loss before income tax of AUD 14.49mn in FY24.
  • Emerging Risks: BTH’s performance relies on sales enablement and engagement, which, while promising, is marked by intense competition. Failure to effectively compete could jeopardise its future financial standing

BTH Daily Chart

Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales Approach (FY June'25E) (Illustrative)

Considering the delays in certain end-of-period service contracts and a 38% decline in EMEA revenue, losses in FY24, etc., the stock might trade at some discount to its peers. For valuation, few peers like Reckon Ltd (ASX: RKN), Janison Education Group Ltd (ASX: JAN), and Shekel Brainweigh Ltd (ASX: SBW) have been considered. Considering that the stock has surpassed its R2 level, recent rally in share price movement, other risks associated with the business, the share price can face consolidation at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of AUD 0.165, as of 18 September 2024, at 10:50 AM AEST.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 18 September 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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