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One Semiconductor Equipment Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – AXE

Dec 24, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Semiconductor Equipment Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – AXE
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AXE:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on 24 December 2024 at 12:53PM AEDT.

Archer Materials Limited (ASX: AXE) 

Archer Materials Limited (ASX: AXE) engages in the development and commercialization of semiconductor devices, and processor chips related to quantum computing and medical diagnostics in Australia, which primarily focuses on the development of qubit processor chip, that operates at room temperature and integrate into modern electronics, and graphene-based lab-on-a-chip biochip technology.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.440

  • Technical Commentary: On the daily chart, AXE's stock prices are undergoing a downtrend characterized by lower lows and lower highs, anticipating a negative bias. Moreover, after a short-term rally which began since September 2024, the stock is forming a trading range in the last four trading sessions, suggesting that the current upside momentum has been halting. Additionally, the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is reversing from its overbought region, reinforcing the likelihood of this scenario. Prices are fluctuating between its previous peak and trough, which might serve as resistance and support levels for the stock, respectively.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a trailing 12-month basis, the stock is trading a P/BV multiple of 4.8x vs industry (Technology) average of 3.0x
  • Financial Performance: For FY24 (period ended 30 June 2024), the company reported a net loss of AUD 4.8mn. The direct expenditure on research activities related to quantum and biochip technology has significantly increased, rising to AUD 4.5mn in FY24 from AUD 2.9mn in FY23.
  • No Final Dividend: No final dividend was paid for the year ended 30 June 2024.
  • Emerging Risks: AXE is involved in cutting-edge technology, including quantum computing and advanced materials. The success of these technologies is uncertain and depends on continued innovation and overcoming significant technical challenges. The company operates in a highly regulated environment. Changes in regulations or failure to comply with existing regulations could impact its operations and market opportunities.

AXE Daily Chart

Considering that the stock is trading near to its R1 level, rally in share price movement, current trading level, and risks associated, it is prudent to book profit on the stock at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of AUD 0.440 (as of 24 December 2024, at 11:32 AM AEDT).

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 24 December 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.    

Note 4: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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