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One REIT Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – GDI

Aug 27, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One REIT Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – GDI

GDI:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

GDI Property Group Limited (ASX: GDI)

GDI Property Group Limited (ASX: GDI) is a property owner and fund manager. It operates in two segments: Property investment and Funds management.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.67

  • Trading Around Resistance: GDI’s share price surpassed its R1 level recommended on 28 June 2024.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis, the stock is trading at an EV/Sales multiple of 12.2x vs industry (Real Estate Operations) median of 7.1x.
  • Financial Performance: The company reported loss after tax of AUD 6.9mn in FY24, as compared to a profit of AUD 16.6mn reported in FY23.
  • Emerging Risks: Property value fluctuations are a concern for a real estate investment trust (REIT), as they affect asset valuation, future income, and overall financial stability. Also, the business could be affected by unavailability of liquidity as it requires ample funds to run operations in an efficient manner.

GDI Daily Chart

(Source: Trading View)

Valuation Methodology: P/BV Approach (FY June'25E) (Illustrative)

Given the losses in FY24, property value fluctuations, increase in borrowing, etc., the stock might trade at some discount to its peers. For valuation, few peers like Carindale Property Trust (ASX: CDP), Centuria Office REIT (ASX: COF), Cromwell Property Group (ASX: CMW), and others have been considered. Considering that the stock has surpassed its R1 level, share price movement, other risks associated with the business, and downside indicated by the valuation, it can face resistance at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of AUD 0.67, as of 27 August 2024, at 10:10 AM AEST.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 27 August 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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