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One Real Estate Investment Trusts Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels - CNI

Mar 04, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Real Estate Investment Trusts Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels - CNI

CNI:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on the 4 March 2024 at 3:55 PM AEDT.

 

Centuria Capital Group (ASX: CNI) 

CNI is an ASX-listed specialty investment management firm, which offers a variety of investment alternatives, including public and unlisted real estate funds, as well as tax-efficient investment bonds.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 1.70

  • Financial Performance: CNI's revenue showed a decline of ~6.8% YoY in 1HFY24, which reflects restrained transaction volumes, lower performance fees and development profit. Operating net profit after tax declined by 15.6% YoY in 1HFY24. In 1HFY24, CNI's net asset value (NAV) increased to AUD 1.78 per security due to investment gains. The group's loan note was extended by AUD 50mn to FY27, increasing the company's liquidity.
  • Outlook: CNI expects its earnings per share (EPS) for FY24 is likely to be 11.5 to 12.0 cents per security. It is assumed that property growth rates would be negligible in FY24, and 3.5% in FY25.
  • Emerging Risks: Real estate asset management companies could encompass potential losses due to adverse market conditions, such as changes in supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, currency fluctuations, and shifts in investor sentiment.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis, key valuation multiples (EV/Sales, and EV/EBITDA) are higher than the median of Financials Industry.

CNI Daily Chart

Considering that the stock has surpassed its R1 level, share price movement, current trading levels and risks associated, it is prudent to book profits at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of AUD 1.70, at 11:20 AM AEDT as of March 4, 2024.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 4 March 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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