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One NYSE – Listed Oil Stock Near Support Levels – W&T Offshore Inc

Dec 03, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One NYSE – Listed Oil Stock Near Support Levels – W&T Offshore Inc
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WTI:NYSE
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (US$)

W&T Offshore Inc

W&T Offshore, Inc. (NYSE: WTI) is an independent oil and natural gas producer. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development and acquisition of oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico. It has a working interest in over 53 offshore producing fields in federal and state waters (which include 44 fields in federal waters and nine in state waters).

Recent Financial and Business Updates:

  • Operational Performance: W&T Offshore demonstrated resilience during the third quarter of 2024, achieving a production level of 31.0 MBoe/d (52% liquids) despite challenges from hurricanes and unplanned downtime. Production recovered to approximately 34.0 MBoe/d in October 2024, reflecting the Company’s robust operational management. This quarter marked the 27th consecutive period of positive Free Cash Flow, with USD 14.8 million generated from operating activities and USD 3.9 million in Free Cash Flow.
  • Financial Highlights: The Company reported a net loss of USD 36.9 million, or USD (0.25) per diluted share, and an Adjusted Net Loss of USD 25.7 million, or USD (0.17) per share. Exclusions from the Adjusted Net Loss included unrealized gains on derivative contracts and non-ARO plugging and abandonment costs. Adjusted EBITDA totaled USD 26.7 million for the quarter, reflecting the Company’s ability to generate stable cash flow. As of September 30, 2024, cash and cash equivalents increased to USD 126.5 million, while Net Debt was reduced to USD 266.0 million, maintaining a low leverage ratio of 1.6x Net Debt to TTM Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Commitment to Shareholder Returns and Cost Management: W&T Offshore maintained its commitment to shareholder returns, paying its fourth consecutive quarterly dividend of USD 0.01 per share in August 2024 and declaring a similar dividend for the fourth quarter, payable in November. The full-year 2024 capital expenditure budget was revised downward to a range of USD 25 to USD 35 million, from the earlier estimate of USD 35 to USD 45 million, highlighting prudent financial management. Lease Operating Expenses (LOE) were USD 72.4 million in the quarter, significantly below the Company’s guidance, benefiting from synergies associated with recent asset acquisitions.
  • ESG Initiatives and Corporate Governance: The Company underscored its dedication to sustainability by publishing its 2023 ESG report, which detailed a 26% reduction in Scope 1 greenhouse gas emissions and a 42% reduction in Scope 1 production intensity over five years. The report also emphasized advancements in waste management practices and shareholder engagement. Additionally, W&T formed an ESG Committee chaired by Dr. Nancy Chang to oversee the Company’s sustainability efforts. Recognized for its transparency, the Company was named a finalist in the small-cap category for "Best Proxy Statement" at the 18th Annual Corporate Governance Awards.
  • Production, Revenue, and Costs: Third-quarter production comprised 43% oil, 9% NGLs, and 48% natural gas, with an average realized price of USD 41.92 per Boe. Revenues for the quarter were USD 121.4 million, a 15% decline from both the second quarter of 2024 and the same period in 2023, primarily due to lower realized prices and production volumes. General and administrative expenses (G&A) were USD 19.7 million, reflecting a reduction in non-recurring professional fees but an increase in non-cash compensation. The Company continued its focus on efficiency, completing one workover and three recompletions during the quarter, which positively impacted production.
  • Financial Position and Liquidity: W&T maintained a strong financial position with total available liquidity of USD 176.5 million, comprising USD 126.5 million in cash and USD 50.0 million in borrowing capacity. Net Debt stood at USD 266.0 million, with USD 114.2 million of the total debt being non-recourse. Capital expenditures for the quarter were USD 4.5 million, and asset retirement settlement costs totaled USD 8.3 million. Investments related to acquisitions for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, amounted to USD 80.6 million, including USD 77.3 million for the Cox acquisition.
  • Strategic Vision and Future Outlook: Tracy W. Krohn, Board Chair and CEO, reaffirmed the Company’s commitment to maximizing production margins, generating Free Cash Flow, and integrating acquired assets. Despite temporary disruptions, W&T is focused on operational excellence and sustainable growth. With ongoing efforts to bring two offline fields back into production and a clear focus on cost management and ESG initiatives, the Company is well-positioned to achieve strong operational and financial performance for the remainder of 2024 and into 2025.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands at 39.44, downward trending, indicating a state of potential consolidation or a short-term upward momentum if the current level of USD 1.80-USD 2.00 hold. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is below both the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA, which may serve as dynamic short-term resistance levels.  

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating has been given to W&T Offshore, Inc. (NYSE: WTI) at the current market price of USD 1.92 as of December 03, 2024, at 07:40 am PST. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is December 03, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice. 


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