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One Mining Service Provider Can Face Resistance at the Current Levels - PRN

Sep 23, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Mining Service Provider Can Face Resistance at the Current Levels - PRN

PRN:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

Perenti Ltd (ASX: PRN)

Perenti Ltd (ASX: PRN) is a global mining services company based in Australia, specialising in the provision of a wide range of services to the mining and resource sectors.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 1.080

  • Trading Around Resistance: PRN’s share price has surpassed the ‘Resistance 1’ level recommended on 21 August 2024; thus, share price can face resistance at the current levels.
  • Technical Standpoint: Given that the 14-day RSI is currently around 65.02 level, indicating it is in the overbought zone and can face retracement in the short term.
  • Geopolitical Risks: Perenti operates in various regions, making it vulnerable to geopolitical instability, changes in government policies, or trade tensions that could disrupt operations or supply chains.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis, EV/EBITDA and Price/Earnings multiples are higher than the average of Metals & Mining industry.
  • Higher Interest Expenses: Interest expense rose to AU$69.3 million in FY24, up from AU$62.4 million in FY23, primarily due to higher average borrowings and increased base rates on revolving credit facilities. This increase in interest expense may pose a risk to the company's financial performance.

PRN Daily Chart

 (Source: REFINITIV; Analysis by Kalkine Group)

Valuation Methodology: Price/Earnings Approach (FY Jun'25E) (Illustrative)

PRN is likely to trade at a slight premium on the back of 16.0% and 25.8% YoY growth in FY24’s Revenue and NPAT (before amortisation), respectively. The following peers have been considered for conducting valuation: OM Holdings Ltd (ASX: OMH), Sierra Rutile Holdings Ltd (ASX: SRX), and AIC Mines Ltd (ASX: A1M).

Given its current trading levels, market uncertainties, and risks associated, the share price can witness resistance at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 1.080, as of 23 September 2024 at 3:06 PM AEST.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 23 September 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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