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One Materials Stock May Face Resistance at Current Level – DVP

Sep 26, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Materials Stock May Face Resistance at Current Level – DVP

DVP:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on 27 September 2024 at 4:29 PM AEST.

Develop Global Limited (ASX: DVP)

DVP is involved in production of clean metals used in sustainable energy generation and storage. The Company’s projects include the Sulphur Springs Project and the Whim Creek Joint Venture Project.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 2.300

  • Trading Around Resistance: DVP’s share price has surpassed the ‘Resistance 1’ level recommended on 9 July 2024; thus, share price can face resistance at the current levels.
  • Technical Standpoint: Given that the 14-day RSI is currently around 62.45 level, indicating it is in the overbought zone and can face retracement in the short term.
  • Dependency on Key Agreements: The company’s future production and financial stability heavily rely on finalizing the agreement with Trafigura. Any delays or issues with this agreement could jeopardize the project restart and funding.
  • Continued Losses: For the year ended 30 June 2024, the consolidated loss of the Group was AU$12.0 million. Therefore, growth prospects depend upon external fundings.
  • Market Volatility: The resources sector has faced significant challenges in the past year, and future market volatility could impact investor sentiment and the company's ability to raise capital or secure contracts.

DVP Daily Chart

Valuation Methodology: Price/Earnings Approach (FY Jun'25E) (Illustrative)

DVP is likely to trade at a slight premium based on the agreement with Trafigura for AU$100 million, expected AU$375 million in free cash flow from the Woodlawn project during its first three years post-ramp-up, and focus on tier-one projects in favourable locations. The following peers have been considered for conducting valuation: Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC), Sims Ltd (ASX: SGM), and IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO).

Considering that the stock has surpassed its R1 level, market uncertainties, and risks associated, the share price can witness resistance at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 2.300, as of 26 September 2024, at 3:46 PM AEST.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 26 September 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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