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One Gold Stock May Face Resistance at Current Level – WAF

Mar 05, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Gold Stock May Face Resistance at Current Level – WAF

WAF:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on the 5 March 2024 at 3:31 PM AEDT.

 

West African Resources Limited (ASX: WAF)

WAF is an Australia-based gold mining company. The company focuses on acquisition, exploration, and development of gold projects in West Africa. Its Mining Operations segment comprises of the Sanbrado Gold Project operations located in Burkina Faso.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 1.015

  • Financial Performance: WAF's revenue showed a decline of ~4% YoY in 1HFY23, due to a 12% decline in gold ounces sold. However, this was partly offset by a 10% higher average gold price. The company’s profit after tax declined by 23% YoY to AUD 82.4mn in 1HFY23 vs AUD 106.6mn in 1HFY22.
  • Outlook: Between 2024 and 2033, WAF is expected to produce about 4.03mn ounces of gold. The yearly gold production for the group would reach its highest point in 2029 to 473,000 ounces. The group's production is expected to be around 338,000 ounces for 2025, and the first gold from Kiaka is now anticipated in the third quarter of 2025. Sanbrado's production expected to increase by 15%, averaging 211,000 ounces per year from 2024 to 2033.
  • Emerging Risks: Metal and mining companies could encompass potential losses due to adverse market conditions, such as gold price fluctuation, geopolitical events, currency fluctuations, and macroeconomics changes, etc.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis, key valuation multiple (EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and Price/Earning) is higher than the median of Metals & Mining Industry.

WAF Daily Chart

The stock today crossed the resistance 2 level mentioned above on intraday basis but may not be able to close above this level on a closing basis as it is witnessing selling pressure at this level. Given its current trading levels, recent rally in the share price, and risks associated, it is prudent to book profit at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 1.015, at 12:35 PM AEDT, as of 5 March 2024.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 5 March 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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