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One Gold Exploration & Development Company Trading Near Resistance Levels – OBM

Jun 13, 2024 | Team Kalkine
One Gold Exploration & Development Company Trading Near Resistance Levels – OBM

OBM:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

Ora Banda Mining Limited (ASX: OBM)

Ora Banda Mining Limited (ASX: OBM) is a gold exploration and development company based in Australia. It is engaged in mineral exploration, mine development and operation and the sale of gold in Western Australia.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.360

  • Financial Performance: During H1FY24, OBM sold 32,156 ounces of gold at an average price of AUD 2,996/ounce(oz), compared to 25,432 ounces sold at an average price of AUD 2,576/oz in H1FY23. Meanwhile, its all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) for H1FY24 reduced by 7% annually to AUD 2,729/oz, leading to a turnaround in its bottom line. However, technical difficulties, equipment failures, and operational inefficiencies can lead to production delays and increased costs.
  • Outlook: The company is putting efforts into pivoting operations from low-grade open pits to high-grade underground feed. Sand King's encouraging exploration result suggests it could be a key value driver for the company.
  • Emerging Risks: Uncertainty in exploration results can affect the feasibility and profitability of mining projects. Inaccuracies in resource and reserve estimates can impact operational planning and financial performance of OBM.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis, key valuation multiple (EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, Price/Earnings, and Price/Cash Flow) are higher than the median of the Metals and Mining industry.

OBM Daily Chart

Valuation Methodology: P/E Approach (FY June'25E) (Illustrative)

Stock might trade at a slight premium to its peers, considering the increase in gold production and decline in production cost in H1FY24, improvement in EBITDA margin. For valuation, few peers like Alkane Resources Ltd (ASX: ALK), Pantoro Ltd (ASX: PNR), Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL), and others. Considering the current trading levels and risks associated, downside indicated by the valuation, and rally in share price movement, it is prudent to book profit at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 0.360, at 2:53 PM, as of June 13, 2024.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is June 13, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above. 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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