Kalkine has a fully transformed New Avatar.

small-cap

One Energy Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – STX

Jan 17, 2025 | Team Kalkine
One Energy Stock Trading Near Resistance Levels – STX
Image source: shutterstock

STX:ASX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on 17 January 2025 at 3:55 PM AEDT.

Strike Energy Limited (ASX: STX)

STX is an Australia-based energy and fertilizer company engaged in the exploration and development of oil and gas resources in Australia. Its segments include Producing Assets and Other. Its projects include Perth Basin, Greater Erregulla Gas, West Erregulla, Project Haber, Perth Basin Geothermal, and Walyering.

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 0.225 

  • Financial Highlights: Sales revenue (gross) decreased by 8.0% QoQ, from AUD 19.85mn in 4QFY24 to AUD 18.28mn in 1QFY25. Condensate (gross) production fell by 1.0% QoQ, from 17.00 kbbl in 4QFY24 to 16.78 kbbl in 1QFY25. Total liquidity also declined by 28.0% QoQ, dropping to AUD 61.52mn as of 30 September 2024, compared to AUD 85.50mn as of 30 June 2024.
  • Trading Near the Resistance: STX’s stock has surpassed its R1 level recommended on 13 December 2024. Therefore, share price can face resistance at the current levels.
  • Overvalued Multiples: On a forward 12-month basis – key trading multiples (EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, Price/Earnings) are higher than the median of Energy sector.
  • Market Risk: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and STX must comply with various environmental laws and regulations. Non-compliance can result in fines, legal actions, and reputational damage. The company’s profitability is highly sensitive to fluctuations in oil and gas prices. Market dynamics, geopolitical events, and changes in supply and demand can lead to price volatility.

STX’ Daily Price Chart

Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales Approach (FY June'25E) (Illustrative)

The stock is expected to trade at premium based on 1QFY25 production growth, high quality gas discovery, and low-cost gas production at Walyering. For conducting the valuation, the following peers have been considered: Santos Ltd (ASX: STO), Amplitude Energy Ltd (ASX: AEL), Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS), and other have been considered.

Considering that the stock has surpassed its R1 level, rally in share price movement, current trading level, and risks associated, the share price can face consolidation at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of AUD 0.225 (as of 17 January 2025, at 3:15 PM AEDT).

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

 

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 17 January 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


Disclaimer-

This report has been issued by Kalkine Pty Limited (ABN 34 154 808 312) (Australian financial services licence number 425376) (“Kalkine”) and prepared by Kalkine and its related bodies corporate authorised to provide general financial product advice. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine.

Any advice provided in this report is general advice only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it.

There may be a Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or other offer document for the securities or other financial products referred to in Kalkine reports. You should obtain a copy of the relevant Product Disclosure Statement, Information Statement or offer document and consider the statement or document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product.

Choosing an investment is an important decision. If you do not feel confident making a decision based on the recommendations Kalkine has made in our reports, you should consider seeking advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) before acting on any advice in this report or on the Kalkine website. Not all investments are appropriate for all people.

The information in this report and on the Kalkine website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. Kalkine has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations to invest in securities and other financial products.

Kalkine is not responsible for, and does not guarantee, the performance of the investments mentioned in this report This report may contain information on past performance of particular investments. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Hypothetical returns may not reflect actual performance. Any displays of potential investment opportunities are for sample purposes only and may not actually be available to investors. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report, the Kalkine website and any information published on the Kalkine website (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law, to the resupply of services..

Please also read our Terms & Conditions and Financial Services Guide for further information. Employees and/or associates of Kalkine and its related entities may hold interests in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the Kalkine website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

Kalkine Media Pty Ltd, an affiliate of Kalkine Pty Ltd, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website including entities covered in this Report.