XERO FPO NZ(ASX:XRO) reported that its overall subscribers base in Australia and New Zealand reached 400,000 subscribers, surging by 44% against 277,000 subscribers as of September 2014. New Zealand had 150,000 subscribers while Australia would have 250,000 subscribers by next week. Xero now has around 540,000 customers across the world. Xero’s Touch app downloads also witnessed outstanding increase of 82% on a year over year basis to 470,000.
Fiscal 2015 performance highlights
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Xero also generated a solid operating revenue growth of 77% to $123.9 million in the 2015 fiscal year as compared $70.1 million in FY14. The Paying customers rose 67% yoy to 475,000 during the period. Meanwhile, the constant currency subscription revenues surged 83% yoy to $122.5 million in FY15. The annualizedcommitted monthly revenue (ACMR) soared 71% yoy to $159.3 million in FY15. However, XRO’s net loss after tax increased by 96% yoy to $69.5 million on the back of rise in product development and sales and marketing initiatives. XRO has been launching over 1,000 product updatesin its core online accounting solution over the last two years wherein around 600 updates were done during 2015. As a result, the firm also increased its staff by 403 to 1,161 employees. Australia and New Zealand subscription revenues increased by 104% and 41% to $56.5 million and $32.6 million respectively in FY15, as compared to the last financial year. Meanwhile, the Australia and New Zealand paying customers rose by 86% yoy and 35% yoy to 203,000 and 138,000 respectively. United Kingdom’s subscription revenues and paying customers improved by 91% yoy and 77% yoy for 2015 fiscal year.

ACMR breakup by region (Source: Company Reports)
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Despite making investments to drive growth in future, Xero was able to maintain a strong balance sheet and had $268.9 million of cash flow. During FY15, the Company used $88.4 million of cash and cash equivalents in operating and investing activities compared to $48.4 million during FY14. The group raised over $147.2 million during March from Accel Partners and Matrix Capital Management to boost its cash for funding its development activities. XRO had used over $88.4 million of cash and cash equivalents in operating and investing activities during 2015 financial year against $48.4 million in 2014 fiscal year.
Outlook
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US remains the main target market for Xero especially to small businesses who needs cloud accounting software. Accordingly, the group’s North America’s subscription revenues and paying customers reported a significant performance, surging 133% yoy and 94% yoy respectively in the 2015 fiscal year. Accordingly, the U.S customers showed an outstanding growth of 300% during the second half of the year. Moreover, Forbes awarded Xero as the Most Innovative Growth Company for the second consecutive year, while IDC recognized Xero as the fastest growing company in the payroll accounting area which represents 74.7% year over year revenue growth in 2014. IDC also recognized XRO as fastest growing financial applications vendor, as it witnessed 80.3% year over year revenue growth in 2014
Long Term Margin (Source - Company Reports)
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The group has partnered with major brands like Apple, Google, Microsoft, Avalara, Bill.com, Mindbody, Shopify and Square. XRO is continuously making investments to improve its application programming interface to further develop its ecosystem as well as achieve strong integrations with its strategic partners. Xero is also among selected SaaS companies across the world(less than 7% as per company reports), which can scale its user base to more than 10,000 subscribers. Meanwhile, the group forecasts its subscription revenue to be more than NZ$200 million for 2016 fiscal year (according to June 2015 FX rates). Earlier, Xero estimated that its recurring revenue model which is implemented in 2016, would generate a year over year growth of 71% annualized committed monthly revenue of $159.3 million in 2016 fiscal year.
Sales Channels (Source - Company Reports)
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The shares of XERO FPO NZ soared around 62.2% in the month of February, driven by the news of its capital raising. Although, these higher levels were sustained in the month of March, the stock has been declining from the last week of April and plunged over 20.2% in last three months. However, we believe that investors need to use the recent correction to enter in the stock, given its improving competitiveness, solid subscribers’ growth especially in the international markets and strong partnerships. Accordingly, we give a “BUY” recommendation to the shares of XRO at the current price of $14.28.
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