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Is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield a good stock to punt on?

Sep 17, 2019 | Team Kalkine
Is Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield a good stock to punt on?


 

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield


URW Details

 Decent Performance in 1HFY19:Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (ASX: URW) owns and operates a commercial property portfolio in Europe, United Kingdom and the United States. It has a market capitalisation of A$28.34 Bn as on 16 September 2019. Recently, the company announced that, on 30th August 2019, Mr Fabrice Mouchel, Group Finance Director has sold 14,792 stapled shares and Class A WFD Unibail-Rodamco N.V. share at the consideration of €119.10 per stapled share, for a total amount of €1,761,727.20.  Apparently, he also purchased 14,792 stapled shares and Class A WFD Unibail-Rodamco N.V. share at €119.10 per stapled share, for a total amount of €1,761,727.20. The transaction was executed on Euronext Amsterdam and the ISIN Code of the stapled share is FR0013326246.

The company has delivered decent 1H FY19 results, despite the challenging retail environment. With a unique transatlantic platform, connecting the best brands with more than 1.2 Bn customer visits each year in the wealthiest catchment areas, the company’s portfolio is at the forefront of the changes in a rapidly evolving retail environment. Adjusted Recurring Earnings per Share (AREPS) for 1H FY19 came in at €6.45 as compared to €6.58 in 1H FY8, showing a decrease of -1.9%. This was mainly impacted by the completion of disposals in 2018 and 1HFY19 but partially offset by robust operating performance and implementation of IFRS 16.

The Gross Market Value (GMV) of the group’s assets stood at €65.0 Bn as at 30th June 2019, on a proportionate basis. The Shopping Centre GMV stood at €55.7 Bn, reflecting a fall of 1.2% on a like-for-like basis. The Office GMV witnessed a rise of 4.1% on a like-for-like basis, and the figure stood at €4.8 Bn.The Gross Market Value of the Convention & Exhibition division witnessed a decline of 6.2% on a like-for-like basis, because of an increase in the discount rate.

As per the release dated 31st July 2019, the company stated that in the last 12 months, it disposed €3.2 Bn of office and retail assets. These were disposed at an aggregate net initial yield (NIY) of 4.2% and 5.4%, and a 6.2% and 8.4% premium to the latest book values, respectively. With these transactions, the Group exceeded its initial target of €3 Bn of disposals well ahead of schedule.


Half-Year Results (Source: Company Reports)

What to Expect:The Group anticipates Continental European Like-for-like NRI to grow by around 3% for 2019, and financing conditions have remained more favorable than expected. Consequently, the Group increases its 2019 AREPS guidance by €0.30, of which around €0.18 is because of the implementation of IFRS 16 as of January 1, 2019, to a range of between €12.10- €12.30. The company stated that its €10 Bn pipeline is well-positioned for a mixed-use future, now with 50% of Gross Lettable Area (GLA) in retail and the rest in dining & leisure, offices, residential, and hotels. With the unique skills, this would continue to contribute to value creation.

Stock Recommendation:The group has inked a first-of-its-kind agreement with The VOID (Westfield San Francisco Centre), which is a leading immersive virtual reality experience operator, in order to roll out their concept in over 25 of the URW’s Flagship destinations in both the US and Europe. The company further stated that the average cost of debt stood at 1.6%, and average debt maturity extended to a record 8.0 years.The company reported return on equity of 4.2% in 1H FY19 as compared to the industry median of 3.9%, which reflects that the company is providing decent returns to its shareholders as compared to the broader industry. With respect to the stock’s performance, it produced returns of -7.91% and -11.11% in the time span of three months and six months, respectively. Currently, the stock is trading at close to its 52-week low levels of $9.500. Hence, in view of above-stated facts and current trading levels, we advise the investors to closely watch the stock at the current market price of A$10.330 per share (up 0.879% on 16 September 2019) and wait for a few more catalysts that may drive the stock.

 
URW Daily Technical Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)


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