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Is this Software & Services Stock Giving a Good Exit Opportunity - VOR

Sep 10, 2021 | Team Kalkine
Is this Software & Services Stock Giving a Good Exit Opportunity - VOR

 

VOR Details

FY21 Results Performance (For the Period Ended 31 March 2021): Vortiv Limited (ASX: VOR) is a technology-based company and is engaged in investing and collaborating with promising businesses which hold commercialised solutions in the digital, cybersecurity, analytics, and cloud services space to develop value in the target opportunities together

  • The company has recorded significant growth in revenue in FY21 to $99K compared to the revenue of $4K achieved in FY20.
  • The company has witnessed a substantial rise in profit after tax to $10.41 million in FY21 from $2.28 million in the prior year.
  • The working capital increased by $14.4 million to $14.8 million on 31 March 2021 compared to 31 March 2020 owing to the sale of DWX and C10.
  • The Board of Directors declared a fully franked dividend of 5.55 cents per share and it was paid on April 9, 2021.

 Income Highlight (Source: Analysis by Kalkine Group)

TSI India Management’s Performance

  • Revenue Rose 4% in FY21: VOR holds 24.89% investment interest in Transaction Solutions International (India) Private Limited (TSI India). TSI India Management has achieved revenue and underlying profit of AUD$13.5 million and AUD$3.8 million, respectively in the quarter ended 31 March 2021. For FY21, it has recorded 4% YoY growth in revenue to AUD$48.7 million.
  • Sharp Uptick in Profitability: The company witnessed a significant rise in profit before tax by 145% to AUD$6.3 million in FY21 driven by an increase in commission rebate along with the benefits of lower maintenance costs and an increase in ATMs.

Key Risks

Due to the uncertainty on the timing and value of cash flow activities, the company has not undertaken any further strategies or hedges to offset the financial risks. The company is also exposed to credit risk as well as liquidity risk, interest rate risks, among others. Changes in market interest rates would adversely impact its cash and cash equivalents.

Outlook

The company is mulling on further acquisition and investment opportunities and is focused on progressing a transaction right away. The management has estimated sufficient cash flows to meet all commitments and working capital requirements until FY22.

Stock Recommendation: VOR has delivered 6-months and 9-months returns of ~+28.29% and ~+39.61%, respectively. The stock has a 52-week high and low price of $0.225 and $0.035, respectively.

Meanwhile, the company’s current ratio at 2.84x in FY21 remained lower than the industry median of 3.55x. Further, its return ratios remained negative with ROE at -2.4% in FY21 compared to the industry median at 1.7% and ROIC stood at -2.4% in FY21.

Considering the aforementioned factors, the current trading levels, technical levels mentioned below, and the associated business risks, we recommend a ‘Sell’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $0.051 as on 9 September 2021, 3:50 PM (GMT+10), Sydney, Australia.

Technical Overview:

VOR's prices gained ~45.71% from the recent low and broke an important resistance level of AUD 0.050 on an upside. Now the prices are facing stiff resistance of AUD 0.053 level, indicating the possibility of a downside correction in the stock. On the daily chart, the leading indicator RSI (14-period) is trading in an overbought zone at ~77.43 levels, further supporting a bearish stance. However, the CMP is above 21-period SMA, acts as a support level for the stock. An immediate support level for the stock appears at AUD 0.042 level.

VOR Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV

Note: The purple color line in the chart depicts RSI (14-period), while green color histograms at the bottom of charts represent volumes. The red color lines show 21-Period SMA.

Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 2: Investment decisions should be made depending on the investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above alongside support levels provided.


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