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Is PayPal in Sell Zone?

Sep 25, 2019 | Team Kalkine
Is PayPal in Sell Zone?


 

PayPal Holdings, Inc.


PYPL Details

Issuance of $5 billion Senior Notes:PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) is a leading technology platform and digital payments company, enabling digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants worldwide.The PayPal platform empowers more than 286 million consumers and merchants across 200 markets. The PayPal platform includes brands like Braintree, Venmo, Xoom and iZettle, which enables consumers and merchants to receive money in more than 100 currencies, withdraw funds in 56 currencies and hold balances in respective PayPal accounts in 25 currencies.

Recently, the company notified that it is offering senior notes amounting $5.0 billion, consisting the followings:
 

(a) $1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 2.200% notes due 2022,
(b) $1.25 billion aggregate principal amount of 2.400% notes due 2024.
(c) $1.25 billion aggregate principal amount of 2.650% notes due 2026 and
(d) $1.5 billion aggregate principal amount of 2.850% notes due 2029.
 

The management highlighted that the offering is likely to close on September 26, 2019. PYPL highlighted that funds from the above offering would be utilized for repayment of borrowings under its 364-day term loan credit facility and for general corporate expenses. A part of the fund will further be utilized for capital expenditures and possible acquisitions of businesses or assets and strategic investments.

Q2FY19 Financial Highlights for the period ended 30 June 2019: The companyreported its financial results for 2QFY19 wherein, the company posted a revenue of $4,305 million, up 12% on y-o-y basis while net income witnessed a robust growth of 56% on y-o-y to $823 million. During the quarter, the company reported an operating margin of 16.4% as compared to 14.8% during Q2FY18. Transaction revenue stood at $3,878 million, comprising ~90% of the total revenue and posted a growth of 17% on pcp basis. The company reported revenue from other value-added services at $427 million, down by 21% from Q2FY18. During the quarter, the business reported 286 million active clients, higher by 17% on pcp while Total Payment Volume came in at $172,359 million, up 24% y-o-y. The company reported Transaction Margin at 54.8%, improved from 54.2% in Q1FY19. Payment transactions per active account stood at $39 million, up 3% from last quarter while number of payment transactions came in at $2,973 million, up 5% q-o-q. In Q2FY19, the company reported technology and development expenses at $483 million as compared to $441 million in Q2FY18. Cash balance stood at $4,909 million along with total assets at $48,391 million and total equity at $16,139 million as on 30 June 2019.


Q2FY19 Performance Highlights (Source: Company Reports)

Outlook:For the third quarter FY19 guidance, the Management expects revenue to grow between 18% - 19% at current spot rates and 18% - 19% on an FX-neutral basis, to a range of $4.33 - $4.38 billion while GAAP diluted EPS is likely to come within the range of $0.32 - $0.35 and non-GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $0.69 - $0.71.

Stock Recommendation:The stock of PYPL is trading at $105.11 along with a market capitalization of ~$123.68 billion. The 52-week trading range of the stock stood at $74.66 to $121.48. The stock has generated a positive return of 2.43% and 10.84% in the last three-months and six-months, respectively.While the stock has corrected around 3.39% in the last six months.The stock is presently trading at a price to earnings multiple of 50.05x. Enterprise value to sales multiple for the stock stood at 6.9x on trailing twelve months (TTM) basis as compared to the industry median of 2.7x. The stock is available at a price to cash flow multiple of 25.4x on TTM basis as compared to the industry median of 5.4x. Considering the aforesaid facts along with premium valuations and current trading levels, we believe that most of the positives are factored in at the current juncture which lead us to suggest investors to book profit and recommend a ‘Sell’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $105.11, up 0.45% as on 23 September 2019.
 
 
 PYPL Daily Technical Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)


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