small-cap

Is HUB24 Ltd In A Buy Zone Now?

Apr 23, 2019 | Team Kalkine
Is HUB24 Ltd In A Buy Zone Now?

 

HUB24 Limited



HUB Details

Inflows and FUA Remain at Higher Levels:Investment and superannuation platform provider, HUB24 Limited (ASX: HUB) released its March quarter report which elaborated on Funds Under Administration and Net Inflows. As per the release, HUB24 recorded gross inflows at $1,156 million (~41% growth) and net inflows at $793 million (~33% growth) in 3Q FY19 as compared to 3Q FY18 of gross inflows at $821 million and net inflows at $595 million. Volatility in revenue margins is correlated to the level of platform trading activity, client cash balances, etc. The company anticipates continuing its focus on assisted FUA transitions to underpin ongoing growth. Further, the management expects platform revenue margins for 2H FY19 to shrink by ~ 6% compared to 1H FY19. The company launched Customised managed portfolios during the quarter.


Average Monthly Net Inflows, FUA and Advisors (Source: Company Reports)
 
Moreover, ECP Asset Management Pty Ltd and its associated entities became the substantial holder of the group since 9 April 2019 by holding 5.38 per cent of the voting power. On the other hand, TIGA Trading Pty Ltd, a substantial holder of the group changed its holding from 12.69% of interest to 11.77% of the voting power since 8 April 2019. Importantly, UBS Group AG and its related bodies corporate ceased to be the substantial holder of the company since April 10, 2019.
 
Financial Performance in 1H FY19:  Group revenue recorded a growth of 16% to external customers to $47.1 million for 1HFY19.Despite the challenging business environment with adversely market movements, the company managed to record half-yearly net inflows at $2.1 billion. In the latest available data from Strategic Insights, the company achieved 1st place for quarterly net inflows and moved up to 2nd place on an annual basis.


Key Performance Highlights (Source: Company Reports)
 
Stock Recommendation:Looking at the comparative valuations, the stock is trading at price to book of 15.0x which seems quite stretched as compared to 1.2x of Industry median. The stock is trading slightly towards its 52-week high level of $15.380. Analysing the price movement, the stock has gained 29.18% in last one-year with 25.41% on a YTD basis and 7.84% in last one month. Considering stretched valuations, trading at near to 52-week high and decent returns in the last one-year, we assume that most of the positive developments are factored in at the current level. Hence, we maintain our “Expensive” recommendation on the stock at the current market price of $14.560 per share (down 1.688% on 18 April 2019).


HUB Daily Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)


Disclaimer

The advice given by Kalkine Pty Ltd and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine Pty Ltd ABN 34 154 808 312 (Australian Financial Services License Number 425376). The information on this website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine Pty Ltd, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. You should make your own enquiries about any investments and we strongly suggest you seek advice before acting upon any recommendation. Kalkine Pty Ltd has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine Pty Ltd excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this website and any information published (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine Pty Ltd hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law to the resupply of services. There may be a product disclosure statement or other offer document for the securities and financial products we write about in Kalkine Reports. You should obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement or offer document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them and also have a read of the Financial Services Guide. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine Pty Ltd do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as personalised advice.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.