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How Should Investors Perceive this Healthcare Stock- IDT?

Apr 27, 2022 | Team Kalkine
How Should Investors Perceive this Healthcare Stock- IDT?

 

IDT Australia Limited

H1FY22 Key Financials ending 31st December 2021: IDT Australia Limited (ASX: IDT) is an Australian company which supplies products, research, and development in the pharmaceutical space, which also includes medical cannabis.

  • Top & Bottom line: IDT increased its revenue by ~74% to $8.55 million, with an ~8% uptick in its NPAT on PcP basis to $1.21 million.
  • MMI Grant Results: After facing a setback from Manufacturing Collaboration Stream Grant under the government’s modern manufacturing initiative (MMI), the company is still trying to initiate other alternative strategic options, including application for Round 2 of the MMI translation stream.

Cash Balance; Analysis by Kalkine Group

Key Risks and Challenges

The business is susceptible to a highly complex regulatory environment, failure which can lead the business to fulfil fines and penalties. Health and pharmaceutical companies operate in an uncertain environment, prolonged by years undertaken in clinical trials.

Outlook

IDT secured a sterile manufacturing license from the Therapeutic Goods Administration to be used for manufacturing Australia’s First cGMP mRNA Drug; clinical trials are expected in CY22. The company continues to execute its Medicinal Cannabis Manufacturing Plans for expanding stability data for oil-in-bottle and flower-in-bottle products.

Stock Recommendation: The stock of IDT gave a negative return of ~58.97% in the past year. The stock is currently trading near its 52-weeks low level of $0.155. On a TTM basis, IDT has an EV/Sales Value multiple of 2.1x compared to the industry median (Healthcare) of 9x, thus seems undervalued. After considering a decent uptick in operating cash flow, current trading levels, IDT’s positive margins and ROE, sterile manufacturing licence, undervaluation indicated by TTM valuation, and key risks associated with the business, we give a “Speculative Buy” recommendation on the stock at the closing market price of $0.160, down by ~3.030%, as of 26 April 2022.

IDT Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV

Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 2: Investment decisions should depend on the investors’ appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


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