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How is the Business Trending on these Healthcare Stocks - IDT, BNO
IDT Australia Limited
IDT Details
H1FY22 Key Financial and Business Updates: IDT Australia Limited (ASX: IDT) is engaged in supplying products, research, and development in the pharmaceutical space, including medical cannabis.
Cash Flow Movements; Analysis by Kalkine Group
Key Risks and Challenges
The business is exposed to a highly complex regulatory environment where any failure can lead the business to fulfil fines and penalties. Health and pharmaceutical companies operate in an uncertain environment, prolonged by years undertaken in clinical trials.
Outlook
The company secured a Sterile manufacturing license from the Therapeutic Goods Administration, bringing IDT’s cGMP sterile manufacturing facility into readiness. IDT is manufacturing Australia’s First cGMP mRNA Drug, destined for clinical trials in CY22.
Stock Recommendation:
The stock of IDT gave a negative return of ~59.770% in the past year. The stock is currently trading lower than the 52-weeks average price level band of $0.168 - $0.755. On a TTM basis, IDT has a Price to Book Value multiple of 1.5x compared to the industry median (Biotechnology and Medical Research) of 3.7x. Given the considerable decent uptick in operating cash flow, sterile manufacturing licence, current trading levels, undervaluation indicated by TTM valuation, and key risks associated with the business, we give a “Speculative Buy” recommendation on the stock at the closing market price of $0.180, up by ~2.857% as of 22 March 2022.
IDT Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV
Bionomics Limited
BNO Details
Key Business Updates and H1FY22 Financial Review: Bionomics Limited (ASX: BNO) undertakes the development of new drug candidates to treat central nervous system disorders.
H1FY22 Cash Flow Movements; Analysis by Kalkine Group
Key Risks and Challenges
The business faces the risk of failure to commercialize BNC210 (drug candidate), potential travel and mobility restrictions, and potential partnership issues in the co-development of programs/studies or lack of government funding.
Outlook
BNO initiated its Phase 2b trial (ATTUNE Study) to evaluate BNC210 in patients with Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) with top-line results to commence in H1FY23. The company engaged in a pipeline expansion strategy and has begun preparing for the initial study.
Stock Recommendation:
The stock of BNO gave a negative return of ~72.174% in the past year. The stock is currently trading lower than the 52-weeks average price level band of $0.063 - $0.265. On a TTM basis, BNO has a Price to Book Value multiple of 1.5x compared to the industry median (Biotechnology and Medical Research) of 3.7x. Given the phase 2b trial commencement, pipeline expansion strategy, current trading levels, undervaluation indicated by TTM valuation, and key risks associated with the business, we give a “Speculative Buy” recommendation on the stock at the closing market price of $0.065, down by ~2.986% as of 22 March 2022.
BNO Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV
Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 2: Investment decisions should depend on the investors’ appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.
Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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