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Stocks’ Details
Imagion Biosystems Limited
Appointment of Company Secretary: Imagion Biosystems Limited (ASX: IBX) is involved in the development of a new non-radioactive and safe diagnostic imaging technology. The market capitalisation of the company stood at $189.68 million as on 18th January 2021. Recently, the company announced that Ms Jovanka Naumoska has resigned from the position of Company Secretary of Imagion, which became effective on 8th December 2020. Further, IBX has appointed Mr Geoff Hollis as the new Company Secretary. The company has finished an oversubscribed placement and raised $6 million, which was strongly supported by institutional investors. IBX would use these funds to ramp up its development plans as well as for the beginning of the investigation in manufacturing scale-up of its nanoparticle technology.
Financial Highlights: During the quarter ended 30th September 2020 (Q3 FY20), the company recorded cash outflow from operating activities of $1.8 million. IBX also raised $4.7 million through placement, which was supported by existing domestic and overseas institutional and sophisticated shareholders. For the half-year ended 30th June 2020, IBX recorded revenue and other income of $117,093 as compared to $300,674 in 1H FY19. In addition, loss for the half-year amounted to $1,705,332 against $1,035,084 in 1H FY19.
Cash Flow (Source: Company Reports)
Outlook: The company expects FY21 to be one of the most exciting and important years of its history. IBX has attained significant progress in commencing the first-in-human study for HER2.
Stock Recommendation: The company closed the Q3 FY20 with the increased cash balance of the company $8.3 million. In the last three and six months, the stock of IBX has surged 134.17% and 255.76%, respectively. As a result, the stock is inclined towards its 52-week high level of $0.200. In addition, the stock is trading at a price to book value multiple of 63.8x against the industry median (Healthcare Equipment & Supplies) of 5.3x on TTM basis. Thus, it seems that the stock is overvalued at the current trading level. On a technical analysis front, the stock has a support level of ~$0.125 and a resistance level of ~$0.190. Therefore, considering the steep price movement in the past few months, current trading level and valuation on TTM basis, we are of the view that most of the positive factors have been discounted at the current trading level and give an “Expensive” rating on the stock at the current market price of $0.180 per share, down by 5.264% on 18th January 2021. We further suggest investors to wait for a better entry-level.
PainChek Ltd
Approval from Health Canada: PainChek Ltd (ASX: PCK) is engaged in the development and commercialisation of mobile medical applications. The market capitalisation of the company stood at $85.63 million as on 18th January 2021. On 19th November 2020, the company has received regulatory clearance from Health Canada and received a licence for manufacturing Class I Devices for Distribution. The clearance from Health Canada allows the company to enter $5 billion in-home health and support services market in the country. For the quarter ended 30th September 2020, the company recorded revenue amounting to $750K, out of the receipt of $1.25 million for second quarterly license milestone as per the government-funded licenses grant. As on 30th September 2020, the company had 795 Residential Aged Care (RAC) Facilities and 66,887 approved beds under annual PainChek® license, which reflects a rise of 10% and 9%, respectively.
Approved Beds (Source: Company Reports)
Outlook: Looking forward, the company would continue with the commercialisation of the PainChek® technology in Australia and the UK as the priorities. In addition, the company would also assess global opportunities.
Stock Recommendation: Following the receipt of FY20 R&D Tax Incentive of $979,621, the company is in a decent cash position of around $13 million. The stock of PCK has corrected 5.06% and 28.57% in the last one and three months, respectively. As a result, the stock is trading towards its 52-week low level of $0.061, offering decent opportunities for accumulation. Also, the company has maintained a trend of nil debt to equity in the span of the past few years. On a technical analysis front, the stock has a support level of ~$0.061 and a resistance level of ~$0.105. Hence, considering the decent performance in September 2020 quarter, regulatory clearance from Health Canada, healthy balance sheet, current trading level and key risks associated with the business, we give a “Speculative Buy” recommendation on the stock at the current market price of $0.074 per share, down by 2.632% on 18th January 2021.
Osprey Medical Inc
Decent Growth in Sales: Osprey Medical Inc (ASX: OSP) is involved in the development and commercialization of its proprietary DyeVert System. The market capitalisation of the company stood at $34.09 million as on 18th January 2021. In the month of November 2020, the company has inked an Independent Sales Agency (ISA) agreement with BioCore Inc, wherein the sales reps of BioCore would be strategically deployed in 8 new states in the US in regions which are currently outside of Osprey’s existing direct salesforce coverage. During the September 2020 quarter (Q3 FY20), the company recorded sales revenue of US$379k, reflecting a rise of 68% over Q2 FY20. After the low sales volume in July 2020 due to COVID-19, OSP experienced a bounce-back in sales during August and September 2020 and recorded growth of 40% and 50%, respectively. As a result of cost reduction program, the company witnessed an improvement of 65% and 48% in operating cash outflows and net cash used in operations to US$2.9 million and US$2.7 million, respectively.
Cash Flows (Source: Company Reports)
Stock Recommendation: The company expects its direct salesforce to continue to penetrate existing regions in the years to come. In early 2021, the company has planned expansion of Independent Sales Agency.
Stock Recommendation: As on 30th September 2020, the company had a cash balance of US$7.0 million. The stock of OSP has corrected 25.86% and 54.25% in the past three and six months, respectively. On a TTM basis, OSP has EV/sales multiple of 5.9x, which is lower than the industry median (Healthcare Equipment & Supplies) of 6.8x. In addition, the stock is trading at a price to book value multiple of 2.7x against the industry median (Healthcare Equipment & Supplies) of 4.6x on TTM basis. Thus, it can be said that the stock is undervalued at the current trading level. On a technical analysis front, the stock has a support level of ~$0.009 and a resistance level of ~$0.06. Hence, in light of the decent growth in sales, decent outlook, and key risks associated with the business, we give a “Speculative Buy” recommendation on the stock at the current market price of $0.024 per share, up by 14.285% on 18th January 2021.
Comparative Price Chart (Source: Refinitiv, Thomson Reuters)
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