Small-Cap

Growth Scenario for These Three Small-cap Stocks – AYS, FBR, IP1

June 09, 2020 | Team Kalkine
Growth Scenario for These Three Small-cap Stocks – AYS, FBR, IP1



Stocks’ Details
 

amaysim Australia Limited

Completion of OVO Subscribers Acquisition: amaysim Australia Limited (ASX: AYS) is an asset-light subscription utility provider that delivers clear and transparent mobile and energy plans. As on 5 June 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at ~$156.41 million. The company has recently announced that it has completed the acquisition of ~77,000 mobile subscribers from My Mobile Data Pty Ltd as OVO Mobile, for a consideration of $15.8 million.

Half-Year ResultsDuring 1H20, recurring mobile subscribers went up by 11.8% to ~706k, and net revenue of the company stood at $244.4 million. In the same time span, gross profit of the company was $76.7 million, and EBITDA of the company stood at $23.5 million. During the half-year, NPAT of the company witnessed a significant increase of 178% to $3.7 million, resulting in a growth of 155% in EPS to 1.3 cps.


1H20 Financial Highlights (Source: Company Reports)

What to ExpectThe acquisition of OVO will accelerate the company’s strategic initiatives to grow its recurring subscriber base. The acquisition is expected to be earnings accretive in FY2021, with a higher earnings contribution in FY2022 and beyond. AYS has provided guidance for FY20 and expects EBITDA to be in the range of $33 million – $39 million. 

Stock RecommendationDespite the current challenges in the economy, AYS gave a pleasing performance. As per ASX, the stock of AYS gave a return of 32.5% on the YTD basis and a return of 65.63% in the last one month. The stock is also trading on the average level of its 52-weeks’ band of $0.24 to $0.87. On TTM basis, the stock is trading at an EV/Sales multiple of 0.3x, lower than the industry median (Telecommunications Services) of 2.1x. Considering the attractive returns, current trading levels, decent financial performance, and positive outlook, we recommend a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $0.525, down by 0.943% on 5 June 2020.

FBR Limited

Hadrian X® Achieves Commercial Lay Speed: FBR Limited (ASX: FBR) is an Australian robotics company, engaged in developing and commercializing digital construction solutions. As on 5 June 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at ~$111.47 million. The company has recently stated that its flagship technology, the Hadrian X® construction robot, has recorded a new peak laying rate of over 200 blocks per hour. This makes it commercially competitive and compelling when measured against traditional manual bricklaying in most markets around the world.

Quarterly Highlights for the Period Ended 31 March 2020: During the three months ended 31 March 2020, FBR took several initiatives to rationalize its costs. The company has decided to postpone the first display home build for the next few months because of the increased focus on the economic, social, and political outcomes of the COVID-19 crisis. During the quarter, the company used total cash of $2.19 million in operating activities.


Quarterly Statement of Cash Flows (Source: Company Reports)

Stock Recommendation:The company remains well-positioned to deploy to a residential site and present its technology to the world. As per ASX, the stock gave a return of 40.91% in the past six months and a return of 72.22% in the last three months. The stock is trading slightly above the average of its 52-week band of $0.010 to $0.105. On TTM basis, the stock is trading at a price to book value multiple of 1.9x, higher than the industry median (Machinery, Tools, Heavy Vehicles, Trains & Ships) of 1.7x and thus seems a little overvalued. Considering the current trading levels, returns in the last six months, softer market conditions due to the outbreak of COVID-19 and higher P/BV multiple as compared to industry, we suggest our investors to wait for the price correction and hence, we have a watch stance on the stock at the current market price of $0.063, up by 1.613% on 5 June 2020. 

Integrated Payment Technologies Limited

Quarterly Highlights: Integrated Payment Technologies Limited (ASX: IP1) is acting as a clearing house for the payment of superannuation contributions, payroll deductions, salaries and ATO related payments. As on 5 June 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at ~$7.41 million. During the three months ended 31 March 2020, revenue of the company witnessed a decline from the previous quarter and stood at $357k, and gross profit of the company stood at $269k. In the same time span, net loss of the company increased from $786k to $1.01 million.

 
Quarterly Financial Highlights (Source: Company Reports)

What to Expect: Given the current uncertainty created by COVID-19 and associated challenges to providing accurate forecasts, the short-term outlook of the company is uncertain. The payment solution of the company, ClickSuper continues to add new payroll providers and is delivering greater value and functionality for its customers.

Stock RecommendationAs per ASX, the stock of IP1 gave a significant return of 118.18% in the past six months and a return of 200% in the last one month. The volatility in the market due to COVID-19 might pose some challenges for the company in the near term. During 1H20, EBITDA margin of the company witnessed a decline over the previous half. In the same time span, current ratio of the company stood at 0.86x, lower than the industry median of 2.56xConsidering the softer market conditions due to the COVID-19 crisis, lower EBITDA margin and decline in results, we suggest our investors to keep an eye on the stock and give a watch stance at the current market price of $0.020, down by 16.667% on 5 June 2020.

 
Comparative Price Chart (Source: Refinitiv, Thomson Reuters)


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