This report is an updated version of the report published on 2nd May 2022 at 4:20 PM (GMT +10)
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
DMP Details
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (ASX: DMP) is the largest pizza chain in Australia concerning network store numbers and network sales and is the world’s largest franchisee for the Domino's Pizza brand.
Result Performance for the Half-year Ended 2 January 2022 – (H1FY22)
- The revenue grew to $1,206.6 million from $1,095.1 million in H1FY21, primarily led by rise in Same-Store Sales (SSS) growth of 2.75% and continued new store openings of 129 for the period.
- The statutory profit after tax reported at $94.1 million, down 6.3% YoY, reflecting a loss of $2.2 million after-tax adjusted as significant items.
- Removing these items, the underlying profit after tax stood at $96.2 million, down 4.9% YoY.
- The company and its franchisees added +285 stores in H1FY22 (+156 acquired in Taiwan, +129 organic), and is on track for a ~500 store expansion in FY22.
Source: Company Reports, Analysis by Kalkine Group
Outlook
The company indicated a solid start to H2FY22, with Network Sales +6.0% higher (+1.7% on a same-store sales basis). The company projects SSS for FY22 would be slightly below the 3–5-year outlook. Further, it plans to roll out initiatives in FY22, including the latest customer-facing ordering app and a team member facing program to provide career-building skills. Also, it plans to increase the delivery team by offering real jobs with long-term opportunities, including franchising.
Key Risks
The company is exposed to liquidity and market risks such as foreign currency, interest rate and commodity price, and credit risk. The company's activities expose the company mainly to the Euro and Japanese Yen currencies and the interest rate risk that arises from its borrowings. The group enters derivative financial instruments to manage its exposure to interest rate and foreign exchange rate risks.
Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales Based Relative Valuation (Illustrative)
Technical Overview
Daily Price Chart
Source: REFINITIV, Note: Purple color line reflects Relative Strength Index (14-Period)
Stock Recommendation
The stock has been valued using EV/Sales multiple based relative valuation (on an illustrative basis), and the target price so arrived reflects a rise of low double-digit (in % terms). A slight premium has been applied to peer average EV/Sales multiple (NTM) (Peer Average), considering its store expansion plans, growth investments, digital offerings, and decent liquidity position.
Considering the factors above, we give a “Buy” recommendation on the stock at the current market price of $70.88 per share as of 2nd May 2022 (Time: 2:56 PM (GMT+10), Sydney, Australia).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) is a part of Kalkine’s Global Big Money Product
Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 2: Investment decisions should be made depending on the investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above alongside support levels provided.
Technical Indicators Defined:-
Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.
Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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