Kalkine has a fully transformed New Avatar.
Stocks’ Details
LiveTiles Limited
Decent Increase in ARR: LiveTiles Limited (ASX: LVT) is engaged in the development and sale of business software in Australia and overseas. As on 29 April 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at $189.47 million. The company has recently released its results for the quarter ended 31 March 2020 wherein it reported an increase in annualized recurring revenue to $55.2 million from $52.7 million. In the same time span, total customer cash receipts went up by 109% on the pcp to $10.9 million. The company has also received $5.6 million from the Australian Tax Office in relation to research & development tax refunds.
Growth in ARR (Source: Company Reports)
What to Expect: LiveTiles is well positioned to pursue growth through its multiple channels. The company is accelerating its efforts to reach breakeven operating cash flow and has reaffirmed that there is no further requirement to raise additional capital to fund operating cash burn. The rapid growth of Microsoft Teams is creating additional opportunities for LiveTiles. The company is also working with various government organizations to implement relevant technologies to support current operating challenges due to COVID-19.
Stock Recommendation: As per ASX, the stock of LVT gave a return of 40% in the last one month and is trading close to its 52-weeks’ low level of $0.110, proffering a decent opportunity for the investors to enter the market. During 1H20, EBITDA and net margin of the company witnessed an improvement over the previous half. On TTM basis, the stock is trading at a price to book value multiple of 2.2x, lower than the industry average (Technology) of 3.8x. Considering the returns in the past one month, attractive trading levels, decent financial performance and positive outlook, we recommend a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $0.215, up by 2.381% on 29 April 2020.
Catapult Group International Ltd
Continued Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth: Catapult Group International Ltd (ASX: CAT) is engaged in the development and sale of wearable tracking solutions, digital video coaching, athlete management platform to elite sporting teams, leagues and associations. As on 29 April 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at $196.62 million. During 1H20, the company witnessed a growth of 20% in ARR to $68.8 million and a substantial increase of 512% in EBITDA to $5.7 million. This was mainly due to sales in new elite wearables subscription.
1H20 Financial Highlights (Source: Company Reports)
Growth Opportunities: The company is committed to growing ARR and is focused on bringing forward the positive free cash flow target. With the growing operating leverage, the company is well positioned as it transitions through positive free cash flow. It is well capitalized and maintains a strong cash position. CAT believes that COVID-19 is not going to have a long-term impact on its sales trajectory.
Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales Multiple Based Valuation (Illustrative)
EV/Sales Multiple Based Approach (Source: Thomson Reuters)
Note: All the forecasted figures are taken from Thomson Reuters, NTM: Next Twelve Months
Stock Recommendation: As per ASX, the stock of CAT gave a return of 71.67% in the past one month and is inclined towards its 52-weeks’ low level of $0.5. During 1H20, gross margin of the company stood at 72.4%, higher than the industry median of 26.3%. In the same time span, Assets/Equity ratio of the company was 1.53x, lower than the industry median of 2.06x. Considering the returns, current trading levels and positive outlook, we have valued the stock using EV/Sales multiple based illustrative relative valuation approach and have arrived at a target price with an upside of lower double-digit (in percentage terms). Hence, we recommend a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $1.090, up by 5.825% on 29 April 2020.
Whispir Limited
Increased Demand for Communications Software: Whispir Limited (ASX: WSP) is a software-as-a-service (SaaS) company, which provides a communications workflow platform that automates interactions between businesses and people. As on 29 April 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at ~$198.19 million. The company has recently provided an update on its quarterly activities for the period ended 31 March 2020, wherein it reported strong growth of 29.4% in recurring revenues to $40.5 million. This was supported by increased demand for communications software, increased use of the platform and improved productivity and operating efficiency. The company added 49 net new customers in Q3 FY20 and reported a reduction in net cash used in operating activities to $1.4 million from $2.1 million in Q2 FY20.
Quarterly Cash Flow Statement (Source: Company Reports)
Future Expectations: The company remains on track to meets its FY20 forecast, following another strong quarter of growth. It is focused on its long-term strategy of developing innovative communications technologies, accelerating the digital transformation of critical communications using AI and machine learning.
Stock Recommendation: As per ASX, the stock of WSP gave a return of 22.44% on the YTD basis and a return of 73.64% in the last one month. The stock is also trading very close to its 52-weeks’ high level of $2.01. During 1H20, gross margin of the company stood at 61.9%, lower than the industry median of 84.1%. On TTM basis, the stock is trading at an EV/Sales multiple of 4.8x, higher than the industry median (Technology) of 3.4x. Considering the returns, higher trading levels and decent outlook, we have a watch stance on the stock at the current market price of $1.890, down 1.047% on 29 April 2020.
Dubber Corporation Limited
Dubber Raises $10 Million: Dubber Corporation Limited (ASX: DUB) is a cloud-based software technology company which provides call recording and audio asset management in the cloud. As on 29 April 2020, the market capitalization of the company stood at ~$195.41 million. The company announced that it had received commitments to raise $10 million through a placement to existing institutional and sophisticated investors.
During 1H20, revenue of the company witnessed an increase of 125% to $4.5 million and a growth of 79% in end user subscribers to 122,549. In the same time span, Contracted Annualized Recurring Revenue of the company stood at $10.66 million.
Growth in Revenue (Source: Company Reports)
What to Expect: The company expects substantial opportunities to be realized in the second half, with several verticals approaching the revenue generation stage. It is also likely to witness strong growth in its key metrics in the second half.
Stock Recommendation: As per ASX, the stock of DUB gave a return of 17.39% in the last one month. The company has seen massive user growth over the past four years. The company also stated that its core strategies have not been adversely affected from the outbreak of the virus. During 1H20, gross margin of the company stood at 29.5%, higher than the prior corresponding period margin of 5.7%. In the same time span, current ratio of the company was 5.86x, higher than the industry median of 1.72x. Considering the returns, decent financial performance and positive outlook, we recommend a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating on the stock at the current market price of $0.995, up by 5.291% on 29 April 2020.
Comparative Price Chart (Source: Thomson Reuters)
Disclaimer
The advice given by Kalkine Pty Ltd and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. Kalkine.com.au and associated pages are published by Kalkine Pty Ltd ABN 34 154 808 312 (Australian Financial Services License Number 425376). The information on this website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which Kalkine Pty Ltd, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. You should make your own enquiries about any investments and we strongly suggest you seek advice before acting upon any recommendation. Kalkine Pty Ltd has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its newsletters and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, Kalkine Pty Ltd excludes all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this website and any information published (including any indirect or consequential loss, any data loss or data corruption). If the law prohibits this exclusion, Kalkine Pty Ltd hereby limits its liability, to the extent permitted by law to the resupply of services. There may be a product disclosure statement or other offer document for the securities and financial products we write about in Kalkine Reports. You should obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement or offer document before making any decision about whether to acquire the security or product. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them and also have a read of the Financial Services Guide. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine Pty Ltd do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as personalised advice.